**Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models project a daily minimum temperature in Shenzhen of 24–26°C on September 10, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with variable cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and light northeast winds.** These factors limit overnight radiative cooling while daytime heating remains moderated by humidity near 70–90% and dew points in the low-to-mid 20s°C. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows around 24–25°C, providing a baseline that aligns closely with current guidance. The near-even market odds between sub-19°C and 29°C+ outcomes reflect trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty from timing of rain, cloud persistence, and potential model spread in steering patterns or moisture, rather than any major synoptic shift such as a typhoon. Upcoming updates from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and global ensembles will likely refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 10?
19°C or below 86%
29°C or higher 85%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
19°C or below
86%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
13%
23°C
22%
24°C
24%
25°C
30%
26°C
24%
27°C
22%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
85%
19°C or below 86%
29°C or higher 85%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
19°C or below
86%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
13%
23°C
22%
24°C
24%
25°C
30%
26°C
24%
27°C
22%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models project a daily minimum temperature in Shenzhen of 24–26°C on September 10, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with variable cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and light northeast winds.** These factors limit overnight radiative cooling while daytime heating remains moderated by humidity near 70–90% and dew points in the low-to-mid 20s°C. Historical climatology for early September shows average lows around 24–25°C, providing a baseline that aligns closely with current guidance. The near-even market odds between sub-19°C and 29°C+ outcomes reflect trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty from timing of rain, cloud persistence, and potential model spread in steering patterns or moisture, rather than any major synoptic shift such as a typhoon. Upcoming updates from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and global ensembles will likely refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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