Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and international model guidance indicate overnight lows of 24–25°C in Tokyo on August 19, aligning with the market’s leading 25°C (44.5%) and 24°C (28.0%) outcomes. Persistent Pacific High influence, elevated humidity, and light winds are expected to suppress radiational cooling, while the urban heat island effect maintains baseline warmth consistent with late-summer climatology of roughly 23.6°C average minimums. No significant frontal passages or typhoon activity are forecast to alter this pattern in the next 48 hours. Traders are weighting these stable conditions and typical ±1°C forecast uncertainty ranges, with resolution depending on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at designated stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 19?
25°C 41%
24°C 29%
23°C 14%
26°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
14%
24°C
29%
25°C
41%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 41%
24°C 29%
23°C 14%
26°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
$10 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$10 Wol.
4%
22°C
$0 Wol.
5%
23°C
$0 Wol.
14%
24°C
$36 Wol.
29%
25°C
$41 Wol.
41%
26°C
$117 Wol.
13%
27°C
$10 Wol.
2%
28°C
$10 Wol.
6%
29°C
$5 Wol.
1%
30°C or higher
$10 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and international model guidance indicate overnight lows of 24–25°C in Tokyo on August 19, aligning with the market’s leading 25°C (44.5%) and 24°C (28.0%) outcomes. Persistent Pacific High influence, elevated humidity, and light winds are expected to suppress radiational cooling, while the urban heat island effect maintains baseline warmth consistent with late-summer climatology of roughly 23.6°C average minimums. No significant frontal passages or typhoon activity are forecast to alter this pattern in the next 48 hours. Traders are weighting these stable conditions and typical ±1°C forecast uncertainty ranges, with resolution depending on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at designated stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$249Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and international model guidance indicate overnight lows of 24–25°C in Tokyo on August 19, aligning with the market’s leading 25°C (44.5%) and 24°C (28.0%) outcomes. Persistent Pacific High influence, elevated humidity, and light winds are expected to suppress radiational cooling, while the urban heat island effect maintains baseline warmth consistent with late-summer climatology of roughly 23.6°C average minimums. No significant frontal passages or typhoon activity are forecast to alter this pattern in the next 48 hours. Traders are weighting these stable conditions and typical ±1°C forecast uncertainty ranges, with resolution depending on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at designated stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$249Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and international model guidance indicate overnight lows of 24–25°C in Tokyo on August 19, aligning with the market’s leading 25°C (44.5%) and 24°C (28.0%) outcomes. Persistent Pacific High influence, elevated humidity, and light winds are expected to suppress radiational cooling, while the urban heat island effect maintains baseline warmth consistent with late-summer climatology of roughly 23.6°C average minimums. No significant frontal passages or typhoon activity are forecast to alter this pattern in the next 48 hours. Traders are weighting these stable conditions and typical ±1°C forecast uncertainty ranges, with resolution depending on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at designated stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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