Recent delays in Google's Gemini 3.5 Pro launch, originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement and then shifted to July, have left the flagship large language model still in partner testing as of mid-August 2026. Traders see this pattern of tweaks for improved agentic performance and reasoning as the main driver behind the close spread between a September release and no release by month-end. Google has shipped lighter Flash variants instead while confirming Gemini 4 training has started, underscoring internal prioritization and competitive pressure from rivals like OpenAI and Anthropic. Key swing factors include any official confirmation of readiness or further slips before key developer events.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 30 33%
September 5 30%
September 7 30%
September 8 30%
On or prior to September 1
19%
September 2
26%
September 3
11%
September 4
26%
September 5
30%
September 6
17%
September 7
30%
September 8
30%
September 9
16%
September 10
29%
September 11
15%
September 12
30%
September 13
30%
September 14
30%
September 15
15%
September 16
30%
September 17
30%
September 18
17%
September 19
30%
September 20
13%
September 21
16%
September 22
30%
September 23
19%
September 24
30%
September 25
12%
September 26
17%
September 27
12%
September 28
16%
September 29
19%
September 30
30%
No release by September 30
33%
No release by September 30 33%
September 5 30%
September 7 30%
September 8 30%
On or prior to September 1
19%
September 2
26%
September 3
11%
September 4
26%
September 5
30%
September 6
17%
September 7
30%
September 8
30%
September 9
16%
September 10
29%
September 11
15%
September 12
30%
September 13
30%
September 14
30%
September 15
15%
September 16
30%
September 17
30%
September 18
17%
September 19
30%
September 20
13%
September 21
16%
September 22
30%
September 23
19%
September 24
30%
September 25
12%
September 26
17%
September 27
12%
September 28
16%
September 29
19%
September 30
30%
No release by September 30
33%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent delays in Google's Gemini 3.5 Pro launch, originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement and then shifted to July, have left the flagship large language model still in partner testing as of mid-August 2026. Traders see this pattern of tweaks for improved agentic performance and reasoning as the main driver behind the close spread between a September release and no release by month-end. Google has shipped lighter Flash variants instead while confirming Gemini 4 training has started, underscoring internal prioritization and competitive pressure from rivals like OpenAI and Anthropic. Key swing factors include any official confirmation of readiness or further slips before key developer events.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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