Intensifying Labour Party infighting has propelled Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to the top of trader consensus at 41.9% implied probability for next UK Prime Minister in 2026, following an MP's resignation to clear a by-election path for his parliamentary return and 72 MPs publicly urging Keir Starmer to stand down. Health Secretary Wes Streeting's abrupt cabinet exit and call for Starmer's resignation this week amplified leadership challenge speculation, while Burnham's team prepares a manifesto amid NEC approval shifts. "No Next PM in 2026" holds 26.5% as Starmer vows to fight on, with Angela Rayner's 11.5% reflecting her deputy stature and recent exoneration. A potential swift contest looms before year-end resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAndy Burnham 42.0%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku 27%
Angela Rayner 12%
Ed Miliband 8.9%
$6,749,754 Wol.
$6,749,754 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Andy Burnham
42%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku
27%
Angela Rayner
12%
Ed Miliband
9%
Wes Streeting
6%
Al Carns
2%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Nigel Farage
1%
Rachel Reeves
1%
David Lammy
<1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Andy Burnham 42.0%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku 27%
Angela Rayner 12%
Ed Miliband 8.9%
$6,749,754 Wol.
$6,749,754 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Andy Burnham
$488,547 Wol.
42%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku
$350,019 Wol.
27%
Angela Rayner
$447,577 Wol.
12%
Ed Miliband
$305,073 Wol.
9%
Wes Streeting
$263,400 Wol.
6%
Al Carns
$186,674 Wol.
2%
Yvette Cooper
$274,606 Wol.
1%
Shabana Mahmood
$283,629 Wol.
1%
Nigel Farage
$787,971 Wol.
1%
Rachel Reeves
$442,966 Wol.
1%
David Lammy
$271,326 Wol.
<1%
Lucy Powell
$269,689 Wol.
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
$181,264 Wol.
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
$127,545 Wol.
<1%
Darren Jones
$185,110 Wol.
<1%
John Healey
$30,487 Wol.
<1%
Boris Johnson
$238,533 Wol.
<1%
Ed Davey
$349,392 Wol.
<1%
Rupert Lowe
$632,578 Wol.
<1%
Robert Jenrick
$354,818 Wol.
<1%
James Cleverly
$278,657 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Intensifying Labour Party infighting has propelled Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to the top of trader consensus at 41.9% implied probability for next UK Prime Minister in 2026, following an MP's resignation to clear a by-election path for his parliamentary return and 72 MPs publicly urging Keir Starmer to stand down. Health Secretary Wes Streeting's abrupt cabinet exit and call for Starmer's resignation this week amplified leadership challenge speculation, while Burnham's team prepares a manifesto amid NEC approval shifts. "No Next PM in 2026" holds 26.5% as Starmer vows to fight on, with Angela Rayner's 11.5% reflecting her deputy stature and recent exoneration. A potential swift contest looms before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$6,749,754Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Intensifying Labour Party infighting has propelled Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to the top of trader consensus at 41.9% implied probability for next UK Prime Minister in 2026, following an MP's resignation to clear a by-election path for his parliamentary return and 72 MPs publicly urging Keir Starmer to stand down. Health Secretary Wes Streeting's abrupt cabinet exit and call for Starmer's resignation this week amplified leadership challenge speculation, while Burnham's team prepares a manifesto amid NEC approval shifts. "No Next PM in 2026" holds 26.5% as Starmer vows to fight on, with Angela Rayner's 11.5% reflecting her deputy stature and recent exoneration. A potential swift contest looms before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$6,749,754Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Intensifying Labour Party infighting has propelled Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham to the top of trader consensus at 41.9% implied probability for next UK Prime Minister in 2026, following an MP's resignation to clear a by-election path for his parliamentary return and 72 MPs publicly urging Keir Starmer to stand down. Health Secretary Wes Streeting's abrupt cabinet exit and call for Starmer's resignation this week amplified leadership challenge speculation, while Burnham's team prepares a manifesto amid NEC approval shifts. "No Next PM in 2026" holds 26.5% as Starmer vows to fight on, with Angela Rayner's 11.5% reflecting her deputy stature and recent exoneration. A potential swift contest looms before year-end resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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