Keir Starmer faces intensifying pressure within the Labour Party after recent local election setbacks and multiple cabinet resignations, prompting speculation over a potential leadership contest before the end of 2026. Andy Burnham's emergence as the frontrunner stems from his strong polling among party members, his decision to contest the Makerfield by-election as a route back to Parliament, and his positioning as a credible alternative to steer the government. This dynamic has shaped trader consensus around his elevated implied probability, while lower odds for figures such as Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner reflect their secondary standing in current internal discussions. The "No Next PM in 2026" outcome captures scenarios where Starmer retains power amid ongoing uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAndy Burnham 56.7%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku 15%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,318,314 Wol.
$7,318,314 Wol.
Andy Burnham
57%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku
15%
Wes Streeting
10%
Angela Rayner
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
2%
Nigel Farage
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
Andy Burnham 56.7%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku 15%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,318,314 Wol.
$7,318,314 Wol.
Andy Burnham
57%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku
15%
Wes Streeting
10%
Angela Rayner
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
2%
Nigel Farage
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keir Starmer faces intensifying pressure within the Labour Party after recent local election setbacks and multiple cabinet resignations, prompting speculation over a potential leadership contest before the end of 2026. Andy Burnham's emergence as the frontrunner stems from his strong polling among party members, his decision to contest the Makerfield by-election as a route back to Parliament, and his positioning as a credible alternative to steer the government. This dynamic has shaped trader consensus around his elevated implied probability, while lower odds for figures such as Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner reflect their secondary standing in current internal discussions. The "No Next PM in 2026" outcome captures scenarios where Starmer retains power amid ongoing uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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