Labour’s recent local election losses have triggered a backbench revolt against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, elevating Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clearest alternative within the party. Burnham’s strong personal ratings and the Labour National Executive Committee’s decision to clear his path to contest the Makerfield by-election have concentrated trader attention on an early 2026 leadership transition. Wes Streeting’s resignation and public willingness to stand, alongside Angela Rayner’s continued profile, sustain secondary support while Starmer remains in post. The current pricing reflects the narrow window before any potential contest and the structural requirement that any successor first secure a parliamentary seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAndy Burnham 56.1%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku 16%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,418,556 Wol.
$7,418,556 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Andy Burnham
56%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku
16%
Wes Streeting
10%
Angela Rayner
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
2%
Nigel Farage
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
Andy Burnham 56.1%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku 16%
Wes Streeting 10%
Angela Rayner 10%
$7,418,556 Wol.
$7,418,556 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Andy Burnham
$577,091 Wol.
56%
Brak nowego premiera w 2026 roku
$419,797 Wol.
16%
Wes Streeting
$286,773 Wol.
10%
Angela Rayner
$475,253 Wol.
10%
Ed Miliband
$320,826 Wol.
7%
Al Carns
$217,115 Wol.
2%
Nigel Farage
$810,430 Wol.
1%
Shabana Mahmood
$302,938 Wol.
1%
Yvette Cooper
$285,998 Wol.
1%
Lucy Powell
$304,437 Wol.
<1%
Rupert Lowe
$692,849 Wol.
<1%
Rachel Reeves
$521,702 Wol.
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
$198,803 Wol.
<1%
Boris Johnson
$259,833 Wol.
<1%
Ed Davey
$354,406 Wol.
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
$137,584 Wol.
<1%
Robert Jenrick
$376,493 Wol.
<1%
David Lammy
$335,543 Wol.
<1%
James Cleverly
$298,176 Wol.
<1%
Darren Jones
$211,871 Wol.
<1%
John Healey
$40,016 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Labour’s recent local election losses have triggered a backbench revolt against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, elevating Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clearest alternative within the party. Burnham’s strong personal ratings and the Labour National Executive Committee’s decision to clear his path to contest the Makerfield by-election have concentrated trader attention on an early 2026 leadership transition. Wes Streeting’s resignation and public willingness to stand, alongside Angela Rayner’s continued profile, sustain secondary support while Starmer remains in post. The current pricing reflects the narrow window before any potential contest and the structural requirement that any successor first secure a parliamentary seat.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,418,556Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Labour’s recent local election losses have triggered a backbench revolt against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, elevating Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clearest alternative within the party. Burnham’s strong personal ratings and the Labour National Executive Committee’s decision to clear his path to contest the Makerfield by-election have concentrated trader attention on an early 2026 leadership transition. Wes Streeting’s resignation and public willingness to stand, alongside Angela Rayner’s continued profile, sustain secondary support while Starmer remains in post. The current pricing reflects the narrow window before any potential contest and the structural requirement that any successor first secure a parliamentary seat.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$7,418,556Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Labour’s recent local election losses have triggered a backbench revolt against Prime Minister Keir Starmer, elevating Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the clearest alternative within the party. Burnham’s strong personal ratings and the Labour National Executive Committee’s decision to clear his path to contest the Makerfield by-election have concentrated trader attention on an early 2026 leadership transition. Wes Streeting’s resignation and public willingness to stand, alongside Angela Rayner’s continued profile, sustain secondary support while Starmer remains in post. The current pricing reflects the narrow window before any potential contest and the structural requirement that any successor first secure a parliamentary seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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