Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford holds a strong position in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, his multiple terms since 2019, and substantial fundraising advantage. Republican nominee Cody Whipple emerged from the June 9 primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing northern Las Vegas and surrounding areas. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Democratic, aligning with current trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability. Limited recent polling and the absence of major late-cycle shifts reinforce the incumbent’s edge, though general election turnout dynamics and any unexpected national political developments could still influence final margins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNV-04 House Election Winner
NV-04 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
11%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,891 Wol.
88%
Republican Party
$2,214 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford holds a strong position in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, his multiple terms since 2019, and substantial fundraising advantage. Republican nominee Cody Whipple emerged from the June 9 primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing northern Las Vegas and surrounding areas. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Democratic, aligning with current trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability. Limited recent polling and the absence of major late-cycle shifts reinforce the incumbent’s edge, though general election turnout dynamics and any unexpected national political developments could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,105Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford holds a strong position in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, his multiple terms since 2019, and substantial fundraising advantage. Republican nominee Cody Whipple emerged from the June 9 primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing northern Las Vegas and surrounding areas. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Democratic, aligning with current trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability. Limited recent polling and the absence of major late-cycle shifts reinforce the incumbent’s edge, though general election turnout dynamics and any unexpected national political developments could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$4,105Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford holds a strong position in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, his multiple terms since 2019, and substantial fundraising advantage. Republican nominee Cody Whipple emerged from the June 9 primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing northern Las Vegas and surrounding areas. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Democratic, aligning with current trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability. Limited recent polling and the absence of major late-cycle shifts reinforce the incumbent’s edge, though general election turnout dynamics and any unexpected national political developments could still influence final margins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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