Recent polling from Emerson College and Stetson University in late March and April 2026 shows leading Republican candidates, including Trump-endorsed U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, defeating top Democrats like David Jolly and Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings by 5-8 points in hypothetical general election matchups, driving trader consensus to an 80% implied probability for a GOP winner. Florida's rightward shift, evidenced by Gov. Ron DeSantis's 19-point 2022 reelection victory amid an open seat due to term limits, reinforces this positioning, with Republicans holding registration edges in key battleground areas. The GOP primary remains competitive—Donalds leads many surveys over Casey DeSantis, Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, and James Fishback—while Democrats face a fragmented field. Primaries on August 18 could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlorida Governor Election Winner
Florida Governor Election Winner
$18,133 Wol.
$18,133 Wol.

Republican
80%

Democrat
20%
$18,133 Wol.
$18,133 Wol.

Republican
80%

Democrat
20%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Emerson College and Stetson University in late March and April 2026 shows leading Republican candidates, including Trump-endorsed U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, defeating top Democrats like David Jolly and Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings by 5-8 points in hypothetical general election matchups, driving trader consensus to an 80% implied probability for a GOP winner. Florida's rightward shift, evidenced by Gov. Ron DeSantis's 19-point 2022 reelection victory amid an open seat due to term limits, reinforces this positioning, with Republicans holding registration edges in key battleground areas. The GOP primary remains competitive—Donalds leads many surveys over Casey DeSantis, Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, and James Fishback—while Democrats face a fragmented field. Primaries on August 18 could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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