Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a consistent polling lead over potential Republican challengers ahead of the July 21, 2026 primary, contributing to trader consensus that a Democrat will win the general election. Recent surveys, including those from April 2026, show Hobbs ahead of Representative Andy Biggs by margins of five to ten points among likely voters, while earlier head-to-head matchups against other GOP contenders like Karrin Taylor Robson produced similar advantages. Arizona's shift toward a battleground state, reflected in the 2024 presidential results, has drawn multiple Republican candidates into the primary, yet Hobbs's narrow 2022 victory and current fundraising position continue to shape expectations. Upcoming primary outcomes and any late shifts in voter turnout could still influence the November 3 general election trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoArizona Governor Election Winner
Arizona Governor Election Winner
$42,525 Wol.
$42,525 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
75%
Republican
25%
$42,525 Wol.
$42,525 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$22,827 Wol.
75%
Republican
$19,698 Wol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a consistent polling lead over potential Republican challengers ahead of the July 21, 2026 primary, contributing to trader consensus that a Democrat will win the general election. Recent surveys, including those from April 2026, show Hobbs ahead of Representative Andy Biggs by margins of five to ten points among likely voters, while earlier head-to-head matchups against other GOP contenders like Karrin Taylor Robson produced similar advantages. Arizona's shift toward a battleground state, reflected in the 2024 presidential results, has drawn multiple Republican candidates into the primary, yet Hobbs's narrow 2022 victory and current fundraising position continue to shape expectations. Upcoming primary outcomes and any late shifts in voter turnout could still influence the November 3 general election trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Wolumen
$42,525Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a consistent polling lead over potential Republican challengers ahead of the July 21, 2026 primary, contributing to trader consensus that a Democrat will win the general election. Recent surveys, including those from April 2026, show Hobbs ahead of Representative Andy Biggs by margins of five to ten points among likely voters, while earlier head-to-head matchups against other GOP contenders like Karrin Taylor Robson produced similar advantages. Arizona's shift toward a battleground state, reflected in the 2024 presidential results, has drawn multiple Republican candidates into the primary, yet Hobbs's narrow 2022 victory and current fundraising position continue to shape expectations. Upcoming primary outcomes and any late shifts in voter turnout could still influence the November 3 general election trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$42,525Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a consistent polling lead over potential Republican challengers ahead of the July 21, 2026 primary, contributing to trader consensus that a Democrat will win the general election. Recent surveys, including those from April 2026, show Hobbs ahead of Representative Andy Biggs by margins of five to ten points among likely voters, while earlier head-to-head matchups against other GOP contenders like Karrin Taylor Robson produced similar advantages. Arizona's shift toward a battleground state, reflected in the 2024 presidential results, has drawn multiple Republican candidates into the primary, yet Hobbs's narrow 2022 victory and current fundraising position continue to shape expectations. Upcoming primary outcomes and any late shifts in voter turnout could still influence the November 3 general election trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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