OpenAI and Anthropic continue to report accelerating AI involvement in their internal research and development, driving trader focus on whether either will soon claim full recursive self-improvement, or RSI. In mid-September 2026, OpenAI researcher Noam Brown highlighted RSI as the company's top training priority, with agents now handling data auditing at 100x human efficiency and progress described as well ahead of competitors. Anthropic detailed Claude leading 26% of model R&D end-to-end under supervision, writing over 80% of merged code, and closing major benchmark gaps far faster than humans. Both labs have released automated research tools while issuing public cautions about alignment risks and the need for potential slowdowns, underscoring that current systems remain human-directed rather than autonomously building successors. These verified capability milestones, paired with competitive positioning and safety debates, shape near-term sentiment around announcement thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?
NOWE
Oct 31, 2026
October 31, 2026
10%
December 31, 2026
12%
$540 Wol.
October 31, 2026
$272 Wol.
10%
December 31, 2026
$268 Wol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or Anthropic, or an official representative of either company, announces that the company has achieved recursive self-improvement by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Recursive self-improvement means a capability, as described in the company's announcement, in which the company's AI autonomously conducts the research and development needed to materially improve the general capabilities of its most capable or near-frontier AI systems, or to produce a more capable successor, with the improved system able to drive further such improvements. Humans may set high-level goals and provide resources, oversight, and approval, but must not supply the substantive research choices or the technical solution. Improvements that are toy, narrow, sandboxed, proof-of-concept, or limited to prompts, skills, or benchmark scores will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must describe the capability as currently achieved in an official capacity. Statements that AI is assisting, accelerating, or writing code for the company's research, statements of future plans or expectations, speculation, interviewer characterizations, leaks, model outputs, and third-party claims will not qualify. A public release, a named model, a technical demonstration, and independent verification are not required.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and Anthropic or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI and Anthropic continue to report accelerating AI involvement in their internal research and development, driving trader focus on whether either will soon claim full recursive self-improvement, or RSI. In mid-September 2026, OpenAI researcher Noam Brown highlighted RSI as the company's top training priority, with agents now handling data auditing at 100x human efficiency and progress described as well ahead of competitors. Anthropic detailed Claude leading 26% of model R&D end-to-end under supervision, writing over 80% of merged code, and closing major benchmark gaps far faster than humans. Both labs have released automated research tools while issuing public cautions about alignment risks and the need for potential slowdowns, underscoring that current systems remain human-directed rather than autonomously building successors. These verified capability milestones, paired with competitive positioning and safety debates, shape near-term sentiment around announcement thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or Anthropic, or an official representative of either company, announces that the company has achieved recursive self-improvement by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Recursive self-improvement means a capability, as described in the company's announcement, in which the company's AI autonomously conducts the research and development needed to materially improve the general capabilities of its most capable or near-frontier AI systems, or to produce a more capable successor, with the improved system able to drive further such improvements. Humans may set high-level goals and provide resources, oversight, and approval, but must not supply the substantive research choices or the technical solution. Improvements that are toy, narrow, sandboxed, proof-of-concept, or limited to prompts, skills, or benchmark scores will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must describe the capability as currently achieved in an official capacity. Statements that AI is assisting, accelerating, or writing code for the company's research, statements of future plans or expectations, speculation, interviewer characterizations, leaks, model outputs, and third-party claims will not qualify. A public release, a named model, a technical demonstration, and independent verification are not required.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and Anthropic or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recursive self-improvement means a capability, as described in the company's announcement, in which the company's AI autonomously conducts the research and development needed to materially improve the general capabilities of its most capable or near-frontier AI systems, or to produce a more capable successor, with the improved system able to drive further such improvements. Humans may set high-level goals and provide resources, oversight, and approval, but must not supply the substantive research choices or the technical solution. Improvements that are toy, narrow, sandboxed, proof-of-concept, or limited to prompts, skills, or benchmark scores will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must describe the capability as currently achieved in an official capacity. Statements that AI is assisting, accelerating, or writing code for the company's research, statements of future plans or expectations, speculation, interviewer characterizations, leaks, model outputs, and third-party claims will not qualify. A public release, a named model, a technical demonstration, and independent verification are not required.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and Anthropic or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
Wolumen
$540Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 7:59 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or Anthropic, or an official representative of either company, announces that the company has achieved recursive self-improvement by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Recursive self-improvement means a capability, as described in the company's announcement, in which the company's AI autonomously conducts the research and development needed to materially improve the general capabilities of its most capable or near-frontier AI systems, or to produce a more capable successor, with the improved system able to drive further such improvements. Humans may set high-level goals and provide resources, oversight, and approval, but must not supply the substantive research choices or the technical solution. Improvements that are toy, narrow, sandboxed, proof-of-concept, or limited to prompts, skills, or benchmark scores will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must describe the capability as currently achieved in an official capacity. Statements that AI is assisting, accelerating, or writing code for the company's research, statements of future plans or expectations, speculation, interviewer characterizations, leaks, model outputs, and third-party claims will not qualify. A public release, a named model, a technical demonstration, and independent verification are not required.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and Anthropic or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI and Anthropic continue to report accelerating AI involvement in their internal research and development, driving trader focus on whether either will soon claim full recursive self-improvement, or RSI. In mid-September 2026, OpenAI researcher Noam Brown highlighted RSI as the company's top training priority, with agents now handling data auditing at 100x human efficiency and progress described as well ahead of competitors. Anthropic detailed Claude leading 26% of model R&D end-to-end under supervision, writing over 80% of merged code, and closing major benchmark gaps far faster than humans. Both labs have released automated research tools while issuing public cautions about alignment risks and the need for potential slowdowns, underscoring that current systems remain human-directed rather than autonomously building successors. These verified capability milestones, paired with competitive positioning and safety debates, shape near-term sentiment around announcement thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or Anthropic, or an official representative of either company, announces that the company has achieved recursive self-improvement by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Recursive self-improvement means a capability, as described in the company's announcement, in which the company's AI autonomously conducts the research and development needed to materially improve the general capabilities of its most capable or near-frontier AI systems, or to produce a more capable successor, with the improved system able to drive further such improvements. Humans may set high-level goals and provide resources, oversight, and approval, but must not supply the substantive research choices or the technical solution. Improvements that are toy, narrow, sandboxed, proof-of-concept, or limited to prompts, skills, or benchmark scores will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must describe the capability as currently achieved in an official capacity. Statements that AI is assisting, accelerating, or writing code for the company's research, statements of future plans or expectations, speculation, interviewer characterizations, leaks, model outputs, and third-party claims will not qualify. A public release, a named model, a technical demonstration, and independent verification are not required.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and Anthropic or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recursive self-improvement means a capability, as described in the company's announcement, in which the company's AI autonomously conducts the research and development needed to materially improve the general capabilities of its most capable or near-frontier AI systems, or to produce a more capable successor, with the improved system able to drive further such improvements. Humans may set high-level goals and provide resources, oversight, and approval, but must not supply the substantive research choices or the technical solution. Improvements that are toy, narrow, sandboxed, proof-of-concept, or limited to prompts, skills, or benchmark scores will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must describe the capability as currently achieved in an official capacity. Statements that AI is assisting, accelerating, or writing code for the company's research, statements of future plans or expectations, speculation, interviewer characterizations, leaks, model outputs, and third-party claims will not qualify. A public release, a named model, a technical demonstration, and independent verification are not required.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and Anthropic or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$540Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 7:59 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...OpenAI and Anthropic continue to report accelerating AI involvement in their internal research and development, driving trader focus on whether either will soon claim full recursive self-improvement, or RSI. In mid-September 2026, OpenAI researcher Noam Brown highlighted RSI as the company's top training priority, with agents now handling data auditing at 100x human efficiency and progress described as well ahead of competitors. Anthropic detailed Claude leading 26% of model R&D end-to-end under supervision, writing over 80% of merged code, and closing major benchmark gaps far faster than humans. Both labs have released automated research tools while issuing public cautions about alignment risks and the need for potential slowdowns, underscoring that current systems remain human-directed rather than autonomously building successors. These verified capability milestones, paired with competitive positioning and safety debates, shape near-term sentiment around announcement thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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