The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October first-round vote, with recent polls from April and July showing Bezerra (UNIÃO) holding a modest lead over Álvaro Dias (PL) and Cadu Xavier (PT), while other names including Allyson, Dário Barbosa, and Professor Roberio Paulino register lower but visible support amid undecided shares often exceeding 20 percent. Trader prices reflect this dispersion, with no candidate exceeding 43 percent implied probability and multiple outcomes clustered near 20-26 percent. Campaign launches in mid-August and party coalition negotiations have yet to consolidate the field, leaving room for shifts from endorsements, state-specific economic data, or turnout patterns in key municipalities. A clear frontrunner could emerge if early polling trends solidify or if one contender secures major-party backing before September.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDário Barbosa 22%
Rodrigo Bolsonaro 22%
Álvaro Dias 21%
Allyson 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Dário Barbosa
22%
Rodrigo Bolsonaro
22%
Álvaro Dias
21%
Allyson
20%
Professor Roberio Paulino
9%
Henrique Lyra
9%
Arinalda do MLB
7%
Carlos Jararaca
7%
Cadu de Lula
42%
Dário Barbosa 22%
Rodrigo Bolsonaro 22%
Álvaro Dias 21%
Allyson 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Dário Barbosa
$77 Wol.
22%
Rodrigo Bolsonaro
$77 Wol.
22%
Álvaro Dias
$10 Wol.
21%
Allyson
$29 Wol.
20%
Professor Roberio Paulino
$69 Wol.
9%
Henrique Lyra
$81 Wol.
9%
Arinalda do MLB
$55 Wol.
7%
Carlos Jararaca
$58 Wol.
7%
Cadu de Lula
$91 Wol.
42%
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October first-round vote, with recent polls from April and July showing Bezerra (UNIÃO) holding a modest lead over Álvaro Dias (PL) and Cadu Xavier (PT), while other names including Allyson, Dário Barbosa, and Professor Roberio Paulino register lower but visible support amid undecided shares often exceeding 20 percent. Trader prices reflect this dispersion, with no candidate exceeding 43 percent implied probability and multiple outcomes clustered near 20-26 percent. Campaign launches in mid-August and party coalition negotiations have yet to consolidate the field, leaving room for shifts from endorsements, state-specific economic data, or turnout patterns in key municipalities. A clear frontrunner could emerge if early polling trends solidify or if one contender secures major-party backing before September.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Wolumen
$547Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October first-round vote, with recent polls from April and July showing Bezerra (UNIÃO) holding a modest lead over Álvaro Dias (PL) and Cadu Xavier (PT), while other names including Allyson, Dário Barbosa, and Professor Roberio Paulino register lower but visible support amid undecided shares often exceeding 20 percent. Trader prices reflect this dispersion, with no candidate exceeding 43 percent implied probability and multiple outcomes clustered near 20-26 percent. Campaign launches in mid-August and party coalition negotiations have yet to consolidate the field, leaving room for shifts from endorsements, state-specific economic data, or turnout patterns in key municipalities. A clear frontrunner could emerge if early polling trends solidify or if one contender secures major-party backing before September.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$547Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October first-round vote, with recent polls from April and July showing Bezerra (UNIÃO) holding a modest lead over Álvaro Dias (PL) and Cadu Xavier (PT), while other names including Allyson, Dário Barbosa, and Professor Roberio Paulino register lower but visible support amid undecided shares often exceeding 20 percent. Trader prices reflect this dispersion, with no candidate exceeding 43 percent implied probability and multiple outcomes clustered near 20-26 percent. Campaign launches in mid-August and party coalition negotiations have yet to consolidate the field, leaving room for shifts from endorsements, state-specific economic data, or turnout patterns in key municipalities. A clear frontrunner could emerge if early polling trends solidify or if one contender secures major-party backing before September.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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