Recent CEO polling from mid-October projects the Catalan Socialists (PSC) to secure the most congressional seats in Catalonia for the November 29 general election, with an estimated 18-19 seats ahead of ERC at 10-11, PP at 6-7, Vox at 5-6 and Junts at 4-5. This positioning reflects the party's sustained regional strength under Salvador Illa despite a modest drop in projected vote share to 29-31 percent. ERC gains and Junts losses appear driven by shifting independence voter preferences, while the decision by rising far-right independentist party Aliança Catalana not to contest the national ballot supports consolidation among remaining options. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these consistent survey leads for the Socialists as the frontrunner in the Catalan constituencies.