James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 2026 U.S. Senate race after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, bolstered by strong fundraising including $27 million in Q1 and recent endorsements like Barack Obama's May 12 appearance. On the Republican side, Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the May 26 primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn after a competitive March 3 contest, with recent polls such as TPOR showing Paxton leading by eight points amid criticism of Cornyn's establishment ties and Paxton's appeal to the conservative base. Trader consensus favors Talarico-Paxton matchup at 61% implied probability, driven by Paxton's runoff momentum ahead of early voting starting May 18, while Cornyn's fundraising edge has not closed the gap.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTurniej wyborczy Senatu Teksasu
Turniej wyborczy Senatu Teksasu
Talarico i Paxton 62%
Talarico i Cornyn 37%
Crockett i Hunt <1%
Talarico i Hunt <1%
$721,449 Wol.
$721,449 Wol.
Talarico i Paxton
62%
Talarico i Cornyn
37%
Crockett i Hunt
<1%
Talarico i Hunt
<1%
Crockett i Paxton
<1%
Crockett i Cornyn
<1%
Inne
<1%
Talarico i Paxton 62%
Talarico i Cornyn 37%
Crockett i Hunt <1%
Talarico i Hunt <1%
$721,449 Wol.
$721,449 Wol.
Talarico i Paxton
62%
Talarico i Cornyn
37%
Crockett i Hunt
<1%
Talarico i Hunt
<1%
Crockett i Paxton
<1%
Crockett i Cornyn
<1%
Inne
<1%
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 2026 U.S. Senate race after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March 3 primary, bolstered by strong fundraising including $27 million in Q1 and recent endorsements like Barack Obama's May 12 appearance. On the Republican side, Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the May 26 primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn after a competitive March 3 contest, with recent polls such as TPOR showing Paxton leading by eight points amid criticism of Cornyn's establishment ties and Paxton's appeal to the conservative base. Trader consensus favors Talarico-Paxton matchup at 61% implied probability, driven by Paxton's runoff momentum ahead of early voting starting May 18, while Cornyn's fundraising edge has not closed the gap.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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