Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Texas by defeating incumbent John Cornyn 63.5% to 36.5% in the May 26 runoff, producing a margin that aligns with the dominant market pricing. Trump's May 19 endorsement consolidated support among primary voters and accelerated Cornyn's erosion, while runoff turnout fell sharply and disproportionately affected the incumbent's base. Official results have been reported consistently across counties with no outstanding procedural disputes or recounts that would alter the bracket, though final certification remains the remaining step before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTexas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)
Paxton 25–30% 99.4%
Paxton 30%+ <1%
Paxton 20–25% <1%
Paxton 15–20% <1%
$137,620 Wol.
$137,620 Wol.
May 26, 2026
Paxton 30%+
1%
Paxton 25–30%
99%
Paxton 20–25%
<1%
Paxton 15–20%
<1%
Paxton 10–15%
<1%
Paxton 5–10%
<1%
Paxton 0–5%
<1%
Cornyn Win
<1%
Other
<1%
Paxton 25–30% 99.4%
Paxton 30%+ <1%
Paxton 20–25% <1%
Paxton 15–20% <1%
$137,620 Wol.
$137,620 Wol.
May 26, 2026
Paxton 30%+
$41,717 Wol.
1%
Paxton 25–30%
$21,598 Wol.
99%
Paxton 20–25%
$11,777 Wol.
<1%
Paxton 15–20%
$16,977 Wol.
<1%
Paxton 10–15%
$17,944 Wol.
<1%
Paxton 5–10%
$9,695 Wol.
<1%
Paxton 0–5%
$13,840 Wol.
<1%
Cornyn Win
$1,450 Wol.
<1%
Other
$2,623 Wol.
<1%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Texas by defeating incumbent John Cornyn 63.5% to 36.5% in the May 26 runoff, producing a margin that aligns with the dominant market pricing. Trump's May 19 endorsement consolidated support among primary voters and accelerated Cornyn's erosion, while runoff turnout fell sharply and disproportionately affected the incumbent's base. Official results have been reported consistently across counties with no outstanding procedural disputes or recounts that would alter the bracket, though final certification remains the remaining step before market resolution.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Rynek otwarty: May 22, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Wolumen
$137,620Data zakończenia
May 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 22, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Texas by defeating incumbent John Cornyn 63.5% to 36.5% in the May 26 runoff, producing a margin that aligns with the dominant market pricing. Trump's May 19 endorsement consolidated support among primary voters and accelerated Cornyn's erosion, while runoff turnout fell sharply and disproportionately affected the incumbent's base. Official results have been reported consistently across counties with no outstanding procedural disputes or recounts that would alter the bracket, though final certification remains the remaining step before market resolution.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Wolumen
$137,620Data zakończenia
May 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 22, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Texas by defeating incumbent John Cornyn 63.5% to 36.5% in the May 26 runoff, producing a margin that aligns with the dominant market pricing. Trump's May 19 endorsement consolidated support among primary voters and accelerated Cornyn's erosion, while runoff turnout fell sharply and disproportionately affected the incumbent's base. Official results have been reported consistently across counties with no outstanding procedural disputes or recounts that would alter the bracket, though final certification remains the remaining step before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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