Trader consensus prices the 1.2–1.5 million turnout range at 35%, reflecting historical patterns where Texas GOP primary runoffs see sharp declines—often 40–60%—from first-round levels exceeding 2 million ballots in this U.S. Senate contest. Recent University of Houston Hobby School polling from early May shows challenger Ken Paxton narrowly leading incumbent John Cornyn 48–45% among likely voters, with Wesley Hunt's primary supporters consolidating behind Paxton, sustaining base interest despite a divided Republican electorate. Cornyn's superior fundraising, ending Q1 with over $8 million cash-on-hand, bolsters get-out-the-vote efforts, but no Trump endorsement has tempered mobilization expectations. Early voting begins May 18 ahead of the May 26 runoff, with weather and final polls poised to influence final tallies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTurnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
1.2–1.5M 26.4%
0.9–1.2M 19%
1.8–2.1M 15.4%
1.5–1.8M 15.2%
$88,932 Wol.
$88,932 Wol.
May 26, 2026
<0.6M
3%
0.6–0.9M
11%
0.9–1.2M
19%
1.2–1.5M
24%
1.5–1.8M
15%
1.8–2.1M
15%
2.1–2.4M
1%
2.4–2.7M
1%
2.7M+
1%
1.2–1.5M 26.4%
0.9–1.2M 19%
1.8–2.1M 15.4%
1.5–1.8M 15.2%
$88,932 Wol.
$88,932 Wol.
May 26, 2026
<0.6M
$998 Wol.
3%
0.6–0.9M
$53,297 Wol.
11%
0.9–1.2M
$1,101 Wol.
19%
1.2–1.5M
$24,788 Wol.
24%
1.5–1.8M
$576 Wol.
15%
1.8–2.1M
$1,739 Wol.
15%
2.1–2.4M
$2,047 Wol.
1%
2.4–2.7M
$2,694 Wol.
1%
2.7M+
$1,693 Wol.
1%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus prices the 1.2–1.5 million turnout range at 35%, reflecting historical patterns where Texas GOP primary runoffs see sharp declines—often 40–60%—from first-round levels exceeding 2 million ballots in this U.S. Senate contest. Recent University of Houston Hobby School polling from early May shows challenger Ken Paxton narrowly leading incumbent John Cornyn 48–45% among likely voters, with Wesley Hunt's primary supporters consolidating behind Paxton, sustaining base interest despite a divided Republican electorate. Cornyn's superior fundraising, ending Q1 with over $8 million cash-on-hand, bolsters get-out-the-vote efforts, but no Trump endorsement has tempered mobilization expectations. Early voting begins May 18 ahead of the May 26 runoff, with weather and final polls poised to influence final tallies.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Wolumen
$88,932Data zakończenia
May 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus prices the 1.2–1.5 million turnout range at 35%, reflecting historical patterns where Texas GOP primary runoffs see sharp declines—often 40–60%—from first-round levels exceeding 2 million ballots in this U.S. Senate contest. Recent University of Houston Hobby School polling from early May shows challenger Ken Paxton narrowly leading incumbent John Cornyn 48–45% among likely voters, with Wesley Hunt's primary supporters consolidating behind Paxton, sustaining base interest despite a divided Republican electorate. Cornyn's superior fundraising, ending Q1 with over $8 million cash-on-hand, bolsters get-out-the-vote efforts, but no Trump endorsement has tempered mobilization expectations. Early voting begins May 18 ahead of the May 26 runoff, with weather and final polls poised to influence final tallies.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Wolumen
$88,932Data zakończenia
May 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices the 1.2–1.5 million turnout range at 35%, reflecting historical patterns where Texas GOP primary runoffs see sharp declines—often 40–60%—from first-round levels exceeding 2 million ballots in this U.S. Senate contest. Recent University of Houston Hobby School polling from early May shows challenger Ken Paxton narrowly leading incumbent John Cornyn 48–45% among likely voters, with Wesley Hunt's primary supporters consolidating behind Paxton, sustaining base interest despite a divided Republican electorate. Cornyn's superior fundraising, ending Q1 with over $8 million cash-on-hand, bolsters get-out-the-vote efforts, but no Trump endorsement has tempered mobilization expectations. Early voting begins May 18 ahead of the May 26 runoff, with weather and final polls poised to influence final tallies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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