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Polityka·Prawybory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

icon for Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
Polityka·Prawybory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Paxton 6–9% 23%

Cornyn <3% 20.1%

Paxton 9%+ 16.4%

Paxton 3–6% 14%

Polymarket

$59,254 Wol.

Paxton 6–9% 23%

Cornyn <3% 20.1%

Paxton 9%+ 16.4%

Paxton 3–6% 14%

Polymarket

$59,254 Wol.

icon for Paxton 9%+

Paxton 9%+

$11,898 Wol.

16%

icon for Paxton 6–9%

Paxton 6–9%

$6,727 Wol.

23%

icon for Paxton 3–6%

Paxton 3–6%

$5,750 Wol.

14%

icon for Paxton <3%

Paxton <3%

$7,085 Wol.

11%

icon for Cornyn <3%

Cornyn <3%

$5,174 Wol.

20%

icon for Cornyn 3–6%

Cornyn 3–6%

$5,243 Wol.

7%

icon for Cornyn 6–9%

Cornyn 6–9%

$5,306 Wol.

6%

icon for Cornyn 9%+

Cornyn 9%+

$12,071 Wol.

9%

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent University of Houston polling from May 5 shows Attorney General Ken Paxton leading incumbent Senator John Cornyn 48-45 percent among likely Republican primary runoff voters, with 7 percent undecided, fueling trader consensus for a tight Paxton victory by 6-9 points as the plurality outcome. Cornyn's fourfold fundraising edge and massive ad spending—exceeding Paxton's by over $50 million—counter Paxton's consolidation of non-Cornyn primary votes and appeal to the conservative base, including a fresh May 15 settlement forcing Texas Children's Hospital to create a detransition clinic and halt gender-transition services. Escalating personal attack ads have intensified divisions in the GOP electorate. Early voting begins May 18, with a potential Trump endorsement and turnout among base voters poised to determine separation ahead of the May 26 runoff.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Wolumen
$59,254
Data zakończenia
May 25, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent University of Houston polling from May 5 shows Attorney General Ken Paxton leading incumbent Senator John Cornyn 48-45 percent among likely Republican primary runoff voters, with 7 percent undecided, fueling trader consensus for a tight Paxton victory by 6-9 points as the plurality outcome. Cornyn's fourfold fundraising edge and massive ad spending—exceeding Paxton's by over $50 million—counter Paxton's consolidation of non-Cornyn primary votes and appeal to the conservative base, including a fresh May 15 settlement forcing Texas Children's Hospital to create a detransition clinic and halt gender-transition services. Escalating personal attack ads have intensified divisions in the GOP electorate. Early voting begins May 18, with a potential Trump endorsement and turnout among base voters poised to determine separation ahead of the May 26 runoff.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Wolumen
$59,254
Data zakończenia
May 25, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 8 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Paxton 6–9%" z 23%, za nim "Cornyn <3%" z 20%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 23¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 23% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" wygenerował $59.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Mar 4, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory", przeglądaj 8 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" jest "Paxton 6–9%" z 23%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 23% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Cornyn <3%" z 20%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.