In California's top-two primary on June 2, 2026, a fragmented Democratic field has boosted Republican Steve Hilton's position, with recent Emerson and CBS/YouGov polls showing him at 17-20% support amid 20%+ undecided voters. Xavier Becerra has surged into contention at 10-19% after Eric Swalwell's withdrawal following misconduct allegations, while Tom Steyer and Katie Porter hold mid-teens shares and Chad Bianco trails among Republicans. The top-two format means any Democrat could advance depending on vote consolidation, and trader consensus tracks Hilton's steady lead alongside Becerra's momentum as the most probable pairing before the June ballot.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$656,763 Wol.
Steve Hilton
78%
Xavier Becerra
67%
Tom Steyer
55%
Matt Mahan
6%
Chad Bianco
5%
Ryan Tillman
3%
Antonio Villaraigosa
2%
Jimmy Parker
2%
Katie Porter
2%
David Thelen
2%
Elaine Culotti
2%
Betty Yee
2%
Nicki Minaj
2%
Javen Allen
2%
Ché Ahn
2%
Ian Calderon
2%
Brandon Jones
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Thunder Parley
1%
Eric Swalwell
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
Derek Grasty
1%
Raji Rab
1%
Sharifah Hardie
1%
Carolina Buhler
1%
Tony Thurmond
1%
Leonard Jackson
1%
Butch Ware
1%
Leo Zacky
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
David Serpa
1%
Ethan Agarwal
1%
Nicholas Thompson
1%
Dylan Colbert
1%
$656,763 Wol.
Steve Hilton
78%
Xavier Becerra
67%
Tom Steyer
55%
Matt Mahan
6%
Chad Bianco
5%
Ryan Tillman
3%
Antonio Villaraigosa
2%
Jimmy Parker
2%
Katie Porter
2%
David Thelen
2%
Elaine Culotti
2%
Betty Yee
2%
Nicki Minaj
2%
Javen Allen
2%
Ché Ahn
2%
Ian Calderon
2%
Brandon Jones
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Thunder Parley
1%
Eric Swalwell
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
Derek Grasty
1%
Raji Rab
1%
Sharifah Hardie
1%
Carolina Buhler
1%
Tony Thurmond
1%
Leonard Jackson
1%
Butch Ware
1%
Leo Zacky
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Daniel Mercuri
1%
David Serpa
1%
Ethan Agarwal
1%
Nicholas Thompson
1%
Dylan Colbert
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In California's top-two primary on June 2, 2026, a fragmented Democratic field has boosted Republican Steve Hilton's position, with recent Emerson and CBS/YouGov polls showing him at 17-20% support amid 20%+ undecided voters. Xavier Becerra has surged into contention at 10-19% after Eric Swalwell's withdrawal following misconduct allegations, while Tom Steyer and Katie Porter hold mid-teens shares and Chad Bianco trails among Republicans. The top-two format means any Democrat could advance depending on vote consolidation, and trader consensus tracks Hilton's steady lead alongside Becerra's momentum as the most probable pairing before the June ballot.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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