Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi leads trader consensus at 60.2% as the uMkhonto weSizwe (MK) Party’s eThekwini mayoral candidate following his September 2026 appointment after internal party adjustments to the candidate list. Recent polling showing the MK Party ahead at around 48% or higher in the metro, combined with its strong KZN performance and campaign emphasis on water delivery, billing reform, and accountability, has positioned Phakathi as the frontrunner ahead of the November 4 local government elections. The DA’s Haniff Hoosen sits at 29% amid efforts to block an outright MK majority, while lower-priced names such as Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi and Cyril Xaba reflect diminished prospects after candidate changes and weaker projected support. Market pricing aligns with the wisdom of crowds assessing likely council outcomes and subsequent mayoral election within the 14-day window.