State Sen. Christine Drazan leads Oregon's crowded Republican gubernatorial primary field with commanding poll numbers—35-37% in late April surveys by Hoffman Research and Nelson Research—bolstering trader consensus at over 80% implied probability ahead of the May 19 primary. Her edge stems from high name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee who nearly defeated Democrat Tina Kotek, recent editorial endorsements from The Oregonian and Willamette Week, and superior fundraising among 14 candidates. State Rep. Ed Diehl trails at 18% in polls, aligning with his 15% market share, while Chris Dudley's support has softened post-May 5 debate despite general election hypotheticals favoring him against Kotek. With ballots mailed since April 29 and undecided voters at 25-33%, traders anticipate Drazan consolidating the base amid unified criticism of the incumbent.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoChristine Drazan 83%
Ed Diehl 15.3%
Chris Dudley 2.2%
Danielle Bethell <1%
$115,909 Wol.
$115,909 Wol.
Christine Drazan
83%
Ed Diehl
15%
Chris Dudley
2%
Danielle Bethell
<1%
Kyle Duyck
<1%
Robert Neuman
<1%
Chael Sonnen
<1%
Caleb Kintz
<1%
Brad T. Peters
<1%
David Medina
<1%
Patrick Kopke-Hales
<1%
Christine Drazan 83%
Ed Diehl 15.3%
Chris Dudley 2.2%
Danielle Bethell <1%
$115,909 Wol.
$115,909 Wol.
Christine Drazan
83%
Ed Diehl
15%
Chris Dudley
2%
Danielle Bethell
<1%
Kyle Duyck
<1%
Robert Neuman
<1%
Chael Sonnen
<1%
Caleb Kintz
<1%
Brad T. Peters
<1%
David Medina
<1%
Patrick Kopke-Hales
<1%
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Sen. Christine Drazan leads Oregon's crowded Republican gubernatorial primary field with commanding poll numbers—35-37% in late April surveys by Hoffman Research and Nelson Research—bolstering trader consensus at over 80% implied probability ahead of the May 19 primary. Her edge stems from high name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee who nearly defeated Democrat Tina Kotek, recent editorial endorsements from The Oregonian and Willamette Week, and superior fundraising among 14 candidates. State Rep. Ed Diehl trails at 18% in polls, aligning with his 15% market share, while Chris Dudley's support has softened post-May 5 debate despite general election hypotheticals favoring him against Kotek. With ballots mailed since April 29 and undecided voters at 25-33%, traders anticipate Drazan consolidating the base amid unified criticism of the incumbent.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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