David Jolly commands overwhelming trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win Florida's Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 18, driven by consistent polling leads and fundraising dominance. A late-March Targoz Market Research survey showed him ahead by 11 points over Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings, with prior polls like Mason-Dixon in January confirming his edge amid high undecided rates. Democratic upsets in two early-April special elections spurred Jolly's $900,000 weekly haul and endorsements from victors like Brian Nathan and Emily Gregory, amplifying momentum. Active campaigning on homeowners insurance cuts and education reforms bolsters his visibility, while Demings at 14% clings to local appeal and lower-profile rivals like Fentrice Driskell lag on name recognition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDavid Jolly 84%
Jerry Demings 14.3%
Fentrice Driskell 2.2%
Jason Pizzo 1.9%
$15,795 Wol.
$15,795 Wol.
David Jolly
84%
Jerry Demings
14%
Fentrice Driskell
2%
Jason Pizzo
2%
Shevrin Jones
1%
Daniella Levine Cava
<1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
Gwen Graham
<1%
David Jolly 84%
Jerry Demings 14.3%
Fentrice Driskell 2.2%
Jason Pizzo 1.9%
$15,795 Wol.
$15,795 Wol.
David Jolly
84%
Jerry Demings
14%
Fentrice Driskell
2%
Jason Pizzo
2%
Shevrin Jones
1%
Daniella Levine Cava
<1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
Gwen Graham
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Jolly commands overwhelming trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win Florida's Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 18, driven by consistent polling leads and fundraising dominance. A late-March Targoz Market Research survey showed him ahead by 11 points over Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings, with prior polls like Mason-Dixon in January confirming his edge amid high undecided rates. Democratic upsets in two early-April special elections spurred Jolly's $900,000 weekly haul and endorsements from victors like Brian Nathan and Emily Gregory, amplifying momentum. Active campaigning on homeowners insurance cuts and education reforms bolsters his visibility, while Demings at 14% clings to local appeal and lower-profile rivals like Fentrice Driskell lag on name recognition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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