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Will Ken Paxton drop out?

icon for Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

3% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
3% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff against incumbent John Cornyn following the March 3, 2026, primary, where neither secured a majority. Despite floating a conditional withdrawal tied to Senate passage of the SAVE America Act voter ID bill in early March, Paxton declined to exit by the March 18 ballot deadline, signaling firm commitment amid reports of leading Cornyn in recent polls. His history of surviving impeachment acquittal and ongoing legal scrutiny has bolstered trader confidence in his staying power, reflected in the 97.1% "No" consensus. The May 26 runoff looms, with potential Trump endorsement or late-breaking scandals as rare upset risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$5,869
Data zakończenia
May 25, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff against incumbent John Cornyn following the March 3, 2026, primary, where neither secured a majority. Despite floating a conditional withdrawal tied to Senate passage of the SAVE America Act voter ID bill in early March, Paxton declined to exit by the March 18 ballot deadline, signaling firm commitment amid reports of leading Cornyn in recent polls. His history of surviving impeachment acquittal and ongoing legal scrutiny has bolstered trader confidence in his staying power, reflected in the 97.1% "No" consensus. The May 26 runoff looms, with potential Trump endorsement or late-breaking scandals as rare upset risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$5,869
Data zakończenia
May 25, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Will Ken Paxton drop out?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 3% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 3¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 3% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Will Ken Paxton drop out?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Mar 9, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Will Ken Paxton drop out?", wybierz, czy uważasz, że odpowiedź to "Tak" czy "Nie". Każda strona ma bieżącą cenę odzwierciedlającą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" i wynik okaże się "Tak", każdy udział wypłaci $1. Jeśli okaże się "Nie", Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem, jeśli chcesz zrealizować zysk lub ograniczyć stratę.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Will Ken Paxton drop out?" to 3% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 3% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

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