Traders see a tightly contested race for third-best AI agent lab by end of August 2026, with Moonshot holding a modest edge at 53.5% amid a cluster of names clustered near 50%. Competitive dynamics hinge on demonstrated agent capabilities in tool use, multi-step reasoning, and real-world task execution, where recent model updates from labs like Mistral, DeepSeek, and Alibaba have narrowed perceived gaps with U.S. leaders. Key swing factors include upcoming capability benchmarks, developer ecosystem adoption rates, and any last-minute releases or partnerships that could shift positioning before month-end resolution. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated capital backing a fluid hierarchy rather than a clear frontrunner.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoThird-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
Google 49%
DeepSeek 49%
Mistral 31%
Alibaba 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
49%
DeepSeek
49%
Mistral
31%
Alibaba
31%
OpenAI
17%
MiniMax
28%
ByteDance
23%
Baidu
23%
SpaceXAI
22%
Anthropic
22%
Xiaomi
22%
Z.ai
20%
Nvidia
20%
Meta
3%
Amazon
1%
Microsoft
1%
Meituan
<1%
Moonshot
53%
Google 49%
DeepSeek 49%
Mistral 31%
Alibaba 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
$20 Wol.
49%
DeepSeek
$20 Wol.
49%
Mistral
$93 Wol.
31%
Alibaba
$82 Wol.
31%
OpenAI
$30 Wol.
17%
MiniMax
$130 Wol.
28%
ByteDance
$91 Wol.
23%
Baidu
$141 Wol.
23%
SpaceXAI
$78 Wol.
22%
Anthropic
$171 Wol.
22%
Xiaomi
$126 Wol.
22%
Z.ai
$20 Wol.
20%
Nvidia
$112 Wol.
20%
Meta
$77 Wol.
3%
Amazon
$135 Wol.
1%
Microsoft
$115 Wol.
1%
Meituan
$34 Wol.
<1%
Moonshot
$209 Wol.
53%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a tightly contested race for third-best AI agent lab by end of August 2026, with Moonshot holding a modest edge at 53.5% amid a cluster of names clustered near 50%. Competitive dynamics hinge on demonstrated agent capabilities in tool use, multi-step reasoning, and real-world task execution, where recent model updates from labs like Mistral, DeepSeek, and Alibaba have narrowed perceived gaps with U.S. leaders. Key swing factors include upcoming capability benchmarks, developer ecosystem adoption rates, and any last-minute releases or partnerships that could shift positioning before month-end resolution. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated capital backing a fluid hierarchy rather than a clear frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,684Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a tightly contested race for third-best AI agent lab by end of August 2026, with Moonshot holding a modest edge at 53.5% amid a cluster of names clustered near 50%. Competitive dynamics hinge on demonstrated agent capabilities in tool use, multi-step reasoning, and real-world task execution, where recent model updates from labs like Mistral, DeepSeek, and Alibaba have narrowed perceived gaps with U.S. leaders. Key swing factors include upcoming capability benchmarks, developer ecosystem adoption rates, and any last-minute releases or partnerships that could shift positioning before month-end resolution. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated capital backing a fluid hierarchy rather than a clear frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$1,684Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tightly contested race for third-best AI agent lab by end of August 2026, with Moonshot holding a modest edge at 53.5% amid a cluster of names clustered near 50%. Competitive dynamics hinge on demonstrated agent capabilities in tool use, multi-step reasoning, and real-world task execution, where recent model updates from labs like Mistral, DeepSeek, and Alibaba have narrowed perceived gaps with U.S. leaders. Key swing factors include upcoming capability benchmarks, developer ecosystem adoption rates, and any last-minute releases or partnerships that could shift positioning before month-end resolution. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated capital backing a fluid hierarchy rather than a clear frontrunner.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania