OpenAI's commanding 95.5% implied probability as the second-best AI agent lab by end of September reflects traders' assessment of its sustained leadership in large language model capabilities, agentic frameworks, and real-world deployments that outpace most rivals. Recent model releases and demonstrated tool-use benchmarks have reinforced this positioning amid intense competition from labs like Anthropic. Key upcoming catalysts include any major capability announcements or partnerships before month-end that could shift sentiment. Still, realistic challenges remain, such as unexpected regulatory hurdles on AI deployment, a competitor's breakthrough in autonomous agents, or internal delays that erode OpenAI's edge in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSecond-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAI 96%
Anthropic 4.4%
Moonshot 1.2%
Xiaomi 1.0%
$58,969 Wol.
$58,969 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
96%
Anthropic
4%
Moonshot
1%
Xiaomi
1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
OpenAI 96%
Anthropic 4.4%
Moonshot 1.2%
Xiaomi 1.0%
$58,969 Wol.
$58,969 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
$29,374 Wol.
96%
Anthropic
$6,580 Wol.
4%
Moonshot
$7,510 Wol.
1%
Xiaomi
$3,279 Wol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,758 Wol.
<1%
Z.ai
$2,113 Wol.
<1%
Meta
$745 Wol.
<1%
Alibaba
$824 Wol.
<1%
$1,086 Wol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$810 Wol.
<1%
MiniMax
$434 Wol.
<1%
Nvidia
$944 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$550 Wol.
<1%
Baidu
$703 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$374 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$995 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$362 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$531 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's commanding 95.5% implied probability as the second-best AI agent lab by end of September reflects traders' assessment of its sustained leadership in large language model capabilities, agentic frameworks, and real-world deployments that outpace most rivals. Recent model releases and demonstrated tool-use benchmarks have reinforced this positioning amid intense competition from labs like Anthropic. Key upcoming catalysts include any major capability announcements or partnerships before month-end that could shift sentiment. Still, realistic challenges remain, such as unexpected regulatory hurdles on AI deployment, a competitor's breakthrough in autonomous agents, or internal delays that erode OpenAI's edge in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Wolumen
$58,969Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's commanding 95.5% implied probability as the second-best AI agent lab by end of September reflects traders' assessment of its sustained leadership in large language model capabilities, agentic frameworks, and real-world deployments that outpace most rivals. Recent model releases and demonstrated tool-use benchmarks have reinforced this positioning amid intense competition from labs like Anthropic. Key upcoming catalysts include any major capability announcements or partnerships before month-end that could shift sentiment. Still, realistic challenges remain, such as unexpected regulatory hurdles on AI deployment, a competitor's breakthrough in autonomous agents, or internal delays that erode OpenAI's edge in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$58,969Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's commanding 95.5% implied probability as the second-best AI agent lab by end of September reflects traders' assessment of its sustained leadership in large language model capabilities, agentic frameworks, and real-world deployments that outpace most rivals. Recent model releases and demonstrated tool-use benchmarks have reinforced this positioning amid intense competition from labs like Anthropic. Key upcoming catalysts include any major capability announcements or partnerships before month-end that could shift sentiment. Still, realistic challenges remain, such as unexpected regulatory hurdles on AI deployment, a competitor's breakthrough in autonomous agents, or internal delays that erode OpenAI's edge in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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