Trader consensus prices Trump's approval rating in the 38.5–38.9% range at 64% probability, closely tracking polling aggregates like the Silver Bulletin's 38.5% average as of May 14 and a cross-aggregator mean of 38.2%, with RealClearPolitics at 40.2%. This positioning stems from early May polls, including Washington Post-ABC-Ipsos showing 62% disapproval—a second-term high—and Reuters/Ipsos below 36% amid the Iran conflict, where 53% view military actions as failures per Emerson data. Surging gas prices and inflation have eroded support across parties, including half of Republicans on economic handling, fueling a downward trend ahead of November midterms despite incumbency advantages in historical base rates. Late polls or shifts could adjust final figures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTrump approval rating on May 15?
Trump approval rating on May 15?
38.5–38.9 68%
38.0–38.4 28.1%
39.0–39.4 4.5%
<38.0 1.2%
$19,586 Wol.
$19,586 Wol.
May 15, 2026
<38.0
1%
38.0–38.4
26%
38.5–38.9
68%
39.0–39.4
4%
39.5–39.9
<1%
40.0+
<1%
38.5–38.9 68%
38.0–38.4 28.1%
39.0–39.4 4.5%
<38.0 1.2%
$19,586 Wol.
$19,586 Wol.
May 15, 2026
<38.0
$2,914 Wol.
1%
38.0–38.4
$3,983 Wol.
26%
38.5–38.9
$4,547 Wol.
68%
39.0–39.4
$4,120 Wol.
4%
39.5–39.9
$2,368 Wol.
<1%
40.0+
$1,770 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus prices Trump's approval rating in the 38.5–38.9% range at 64% probability, closely tracking polling aggregates like the Silver Bulletin's 38.5% average as of May 14 and a cross-aggregator mean of 38.2%, with RealClearPolitics at 40.2%. This positioning stems from early May polls, including Washington Post-ABC-Ipsos showing 62% disapproval—a second-term high—and Reuters/Ipsos below 36% amid the Iran conflict, where 53% view military actions as failures per Emerson data. Surging gas prices and inflation have eroded support across parties, including half of Republicans on economic handling, fueling a downward trend ahead of November midterms despite incumbency advantages in historical base rates. Late polls or shifts could adjust final figures.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$19,586Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus prices Trump's approval rating in the 38.5–38.9% range at 64% probability, closely tracking polling aggregates like the Silver Bulletin's 38.5% average as of May 14 and a cross-aggregator mean of 38.2%, with RealClearPolitics at 40.2%. This positioning stems from early May polls, including Washington Post-ABC-Ipsos showing 62% disapproval—a second-term high—and Reuters/Ipsos below 36% amid the Iran conflict, where 53% view military actions as failures per Emerson data. Surging gas prices and inflation have eroded support across parties, including half of Republicans on economic handling, fueling a downward trend ahead of November midterms despite incumbency advantages in historical base rates. Late polls or shifts could adjust final figures.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$19,586Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Trump's approval rating in the 38.5–38.9% range at 64% probability, closely tracking polling aggregates like the Silver Bulletin's 38.5% average as of May 14 and a cross-aggregator mean of 38.2%, with RealClearPolitics at 40.2%. This positioning stems from early May polls, including Washington Post-ABC-Ipsos showing 62% disapproval—a second-term high—and Reuters/Ipsos below 36% amid the Iran conflict, where 53% view military actions as failures per Emerson data. Surging gas prices and inflation have eroded support across parties, including half of Republicans on economic handling, fueling a downward trend ahead of November midterms despite incumbency advantages in historical base rates. Late polls or shifts could adjust final figures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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