Recent local and devolved election results on 7 May delivered sharp setbacks for the Labour government, leaving net approval ratings near -49 and Reform UK ahead in subsequent Westminster polling. Traders nonetheless assign a 66% implied probability that government approval will rise this week, reflecting expectations that the initial post-election reaction has peaked and that public sentiment may stabilise absent fresh controversies. Prime Minister Starmer’s appointment of Gordon Brown and Harriet Harman as advisers, together with his public commitment to remain in post, has provided the most recent institutional signals that could support modest weekly gains in favourability measures. With the baseline already low, even small polling movements in the absence of further negative events would register as an uptick.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUK Government approval Up or Down this week?
UK Government approval Up or Down this week?
Up
$250 Wol.
$250 Wol.
Apr 6, 2026
Up
$250 Wol.
$250 Wol.
Apr 6, 2026
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of March 30, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.Recent local and devolved election results on 7 May delivered sharp setbacks for the Labour government, leaving net approval ratings near -49 and Reform UK ahead in subsequent Westminster polling. Traders nonetheless assign a 66% implied probability that government approval will rise this week, reflecting expectations that the initial post-election reaction has peaked and that public sentiment may stabilise absent fresh controversies. Prime Minister Starmer’s appointment of Gordon Brown and Harriet Harman as advisers, together with his public commitment to remain in post, has provided the most recent institutional signals that could support modest weekly gains in favourability measures. With the baseline already low, even small polling movements in the absence of further negative events would register as an uptick.
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of March 30, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 1, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Wolumen
$250Data zakończenia
Apr 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 1, 2026, 2:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of March 30, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.Recent local and devolved election results on 7 May delivered sharp setbacks for the Labour government, leaving net approval ratings near -49 and Reform UK ahead in subsequent Westminster polling. Traders nonetheless assign a 66% implied probability that government approval will rise this week, reflecting expectations that the initial post-election reaction has peaked and that public sentiment may stabilise absent fresh controversies. Prime Minister Starmer’s appointment of Gordon Brown and Harriet Harman as advisers, together with his public commitment to remain in post, has provided the most recent institutional signals that could support modest weekly gains in favourability measures. With the baseline already low, even small polling movements in the absence of further negative events would register as an uptick.
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of March 30, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Wolumen
$250Data zakończenia
Apr 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 1, 2026, 2:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent local and devolved election results on 7 May delivered sharp setbacks for the Labour government, leaving net approval ratings near -49 and Reform UK ahead in subsequent Westminster polling. Traders nonetheless assign a 66% implied probability that government approval will rise this week, reflecting expectations that the initial post-election reaction has peaked and that public sentiment may stabilise absent fresh controversies. Prime Minister Starmer’s appointment of Gordon Brown and Harriet Harman as advisers, together with his public commitment to remain in post, has provided the most recent institutional signals that could support modest weekly gains in favourability measures. With the baseline already low, even small polling movements in the absence of further negative events would register as an uptick.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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