Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress continue to block any realistic path to early removal of President Trump through impeachment or the 25th Amendment, sustaining trader consensus that he will remain in office through the end of 2026. Democratic resolutions introduced in April citing erratic statements on Iran and fitness concerns gained no Republican support and stalled without a two-thirds Senate vote. Trump has remained active in the interim, issuing executive actions on fertility benefits and mental health policy while managing a fragile ceasefire with Iran and conducting diplomatic engagements. No cabinet-level invocation of incapacity procedures or credible health developments have surfaced in recent weeks. Historical precedent shows early-term departures require overwhelming bipartisan agreement that remains absent here, though unforeseen medical events or sudden erosion of party unity could still shift probabilities before year-end resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTak
$8,519,969 Wol.
$8,519,969 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Tak
$8,519,969 Wol.
$8,519,969 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress continue to block any realistic path to early removal of President Trump through impeachment or the 25th Amendment, sustaining trader consensus that he will remain in office through the end of 2026. Democratic resolutions introduced in April citing erratic statements on Iran and fitness concerns gained no Republican support and stalled without a two-thirds Senate vote. Trump has remained active in the interim, issuing executive actions on fertility benefits and mental health policy while managing a fragile ceasefire with Iran and conducting diplomatic engagements. No cabinet-level invocation of incapacity procedures or credible health developments have surfaced in recent weeks. Historical precedent shows early-term departures require overwhelming bipartisan agreement that remains absent here, though unforeseen medical events or sudden erosion of party unity could still shift probabilities before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,519,969Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress continue to block any realistic path to early removal of President Trump through impeachment or the 25th Amendment, sustaining trader consensus that he will remain in office through the end of 2026. Democratic resolutions introduced in April citing erratic statements on Iran and fitness concerns gained no Republican support and stalled without a two-thirds Senate vote. Trump has remained active in the interim, issuing executive actions on fertility benefits and mental health policy while managing a fragile ceasefire with Iran and conducting diplomatic engagements. No cabinet-level invocation of incapacity procedures or credible health developments have surfaced in recent weeks. Historical precedent shows early-term departures require overwhelming bipartisan agreement that remains absent here, though unforeseen medical events or sudden erosion of party unity could still shift probabilities before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$8,519,969Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress continue to block any realistic path to early removal of President Trump through impeachment or the 25th Amendment, sustaining trader consensus that he will remain in office through the end of 2026. Democratic resolutions introduced in April citing erratic statements on Iran and fitness concerns gained no Republican support and stalled without a two-thirds Senate vote. Trump has remained active in the interim, issuing executive actions on fertility benefits and mental health policy while managing a fragile ceasefire with Iran and conducting diplomatic engagements. No cabinet-level invocation of incapacity procedures or credible health developments have surfaced in recent weeks. Historical precedent shows early-term departures require overwhelming bipartisan agreement that remains absent here, though unforeseen medical events or sudden erosion of party unity could still shift probabilities before year-end resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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