Skip to main content
icon for What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Finanse·Chatgpt

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

icon for What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Finanse·Chatgpt

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

$1.0T–$1.25T 32%

$1.25T–$1.5T 21.0%

$1.5T–$1.75T 15.2%

<$1T 11.5%

Polymarket

$21,262 Wol.

$1.0T–$1.25T 32%

$1.25T–$1.5T 21.0%

$1.5T–$1.75T 15.2%

<$1T 11.5%

Polymarket

$21,262 Wol.

<$1T

$3,722 Wol.

12%

$1.0T–$1.25T

$4,938 Wol.

23%

$1.25T–$1.5T

$2,681 Wol.

21%

$1.5T–$1.75T

$2,152 Wol.

15%

$1.75T–$2.0T

$2,819 Wol.

12%

$2.0T–$2.25T

$1,464 Wol.

1%

$2.25T–$2.5T

$1,132 Wol.

1%

$2.5T+

$2,354 Wol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in June 2026 and its March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion anchor trader expectations, with the two leading $1.0–1.25 trillion and $1.25–1.5 trillion buckets reflecting the tightest implied probabilities at 21.5% and 20.9%. Sustained revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage, alongside $110 billion+ in committed capital, supports premium multiples, yet ongoing operating losses and competition from Anthropic and Google introduce valuation compression risk. Recent precedent from SpaceX’s post-IPO share decline adds caution, keeping the market-implied distribution centered near $1–1.5 trillion pending further earnings visibility or regulatory milestones.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$21,262
Data zakończenia
Jul 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in June 2026 and its March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion anchor trader expectations, with the two leading $1.0–1.25 trillion and $1.25–1.5 trillion buckets reflecting the tightest implied probabilities at 21.5% and 20.9%. Sustained revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage, alongside $110 billion+ in committed capital, supports premium multiples, yet ongoing operating losses and competition from Anthropic and Google introduce valuation compression risk. Recent precedent from SpaceX’s post-IPO share decline adds caution, keeping the market-implied distribution centered near $1–1.5 trillion pending further earnings visibility or regulatory milestones.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$21,262
Data zakończenia
Jul 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Powiązane

icon for Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?

Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?

40%
icon for Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

38%
icon for Czy kapitalizacja rynkowa OpenAI po debiucie giełdowym przekroczy 800 miliardów dolarów?

Czy kapitalizacja rynkowa OpenAI po debiucie giełdowym przekroczy 800 miliardów dolarów?

89%
Tak

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 8 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "$1.0T–$1.25T" z 23%, za nim "$1.25T–$1.5T" z 21%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 23¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 23% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?" wygenerował $21.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 21, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?", przeglądaj 8 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?" jest "$1.0T–$1.25T" z 23%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 23% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "$1.25T–$1.5T" z 21%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.