Short-term forecasts from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center and ensemble models highlight above-normal precipitation chances across the western U.S., northern tier, and Alaska for September 1-5 due to troughing and onshore flow, while ridging supports near-normal or drier conditions in parts of the south-central and southeastern regions. International agencies note convective activity and monsoon remnants driving potential rain in the Southwest, Four Corners, and select Asian and Middle Eastern locales. Traders weigh model consensus against resolution thresholds like measurable precipitation at specific stations, with atmospheric steering patterns and moisture availability as key variables; updated model runs today could shift implied probabilities ahead of any final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhere will it rain on September 1?
New York, NY
87%
Los Angeles, CA
26%
Chicago, IL
26%
Houston, TX
82%
Dallas, TX
26%
Phoenix, AZ
26%
Philadelphia, PA
85%
Denver, CO
16%
Washington, DC
26%
Atlanta, GA
26%
Miami, FL
56%
Seattle, WA
26%
Boston, MA
86%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
26%
$20 Wol.
New York, NY
87%
Los Angeles, CA
26%
Chicago, IL
26%
Houston, TX
82%
Dallas, TX
26%
Phoenix, AZ
26%
Philadelphia, PA
85%
Denver, CO
16%
Washington, DC
26%
Atlanta, GA
26%
Miami, FL
56%
Seattle, WA
26%
Boston, MA
86%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
26%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Short-term forecasts from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center and ensemble models highlight above-normal precipitation chances across the western U.S., northern tier, and Alaska for September 1-5 due to troughing and onshore flow, while ridging supports near-normal or drier conditions in parts of the south-central and southeastern regions. International agencies note convective activity and monsoon remnants driving potential rain in the Southwest, Four Corners, and select Asian and Middle Eastern locales. Traders weigh model consensus against resolution thresholds like measurable precipitation at specific stations, with atmospheric steering patterns and moisture availability as key variables; updated model runs today could shift implied probabilities ahead of any final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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