The Trump administration has accelerated U.S. industrial policy by converting CHIPS Act funding and other federal incentives into equity stakes in private firms, prioritizing semiconductors, critical minerals, and quantum technologies to strengthen domestic supply chains and reduce reliance on foreign sources. Since early 2025, the government has announced or finalized roughly 30 such positions, including a 9.9 percent stake in Intel and interests in MP Materials, with recent July 2026 letters of intent covering additional semiconductor and quantum companies. Commerce Department rules now routinely tie awards to minority equity, warrants, or revenue-sharing terms, marking a shift from prior grant-and-loan approaches. Traders are pricing high probabilities for firms like GlobalFoundries, Rigetti, and D-Wave based on ongoing award pipelines and national-security priorities, with further announcements expected before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$168,588 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
GlobalFoundries
87%
D-Wave
79%
Rigetti
73%
Unusual Machines
50%
Anduril
29%
Lockheed Martin
21%
IonQ
19%
OpenAI
18%
Boeing
16%
Nvidia
15%
TSMC
15%
Anthropic
14%
Eli Lilly
14%
Palantir
14%
SpaceX
12%
Freeport-McMoRan
9%
Micron
9%
Pfizer
7%
Samsung Electronics
4%
TikTok US / Bytedance
4%
$168,588 Wol.
GlobalFoundries
$5,885 Wol.
87%
D-Wave
$3,801 Wol.
79%
Rigetti
$24,675 Wol.
73%
Unusual Machines
$3 Wol.
50%
Anduril
$42,256 Wol.
29%
Lockheed Martin
$2,038 Wol.
21%
IonQ
$2,411 Wol.
19%
OpenAI
$9,818 Wol.
18%
Boeing
$9,524 Wol.
16%
Nvidia
$15,707 Wol.
15%
TSMC
$14,202 Wol.
15%
Anthropic
$5,688 Wol.
14%
Eli Lilly
$2,760 Wol.
14%
Palantir
$3,269 Wol.
14%
SpaceX
$18 Wol.
12%
Freeport-McMoRan
$2,855 Wol.
9%
Micron
$1,455 Wol.
9%
Pfizer
$6,134 Wol.
7%
Samsung Electronics
$10,118 Wol.
4%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$5,971 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has accelerated U.S. industrial policy by converting CHIPS Act funding and other federal incentives into equity stakes in private firms, prioritizing semiconductors, critical minerals, and quantum technologies to strengthen domestic supply chains and reduce reliance on foreign sources. Since early 2025, the government has announced or finalized roughly 30 such positions, including a 9.9 percent stake in Intel and interests in MP Materials, with recent July 2026 letters of intent covering additional semiconductor and quantum companies. Commerce Department rules now routinely tie awards to minority equity, warrants, or revenue-sharing terms, marking a shift from prior grant-and-loan approaches. Traders are pricing high probabilities for firms like GlobalFoundries, Rigetti, and D-Wave based on ongoing award pipelines and national-security priorities, with further announcements expected before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Wolumen
$168,588Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has accelerated U.S. industrial policy by converting CHIPS Act funding and other federal incentives into equity stakes in private firms, prioritizing semiconductors, critical minerals, and quantum technologies to strengthen domestic supply chains and reduce reliance on foreign sources. Since early 2025, the government has announced or finalized roughly 30 such positions, including a 9.9 percent stake in Intel and interests in MP Materials, with recent July 2026 letters of intent covering additional semiconductor and quantum companies. Commerce Department rules now routinely tie awards to minority equity, warrants, or revenue-sharing terms, marking a shift from prior grant-and-loan approaches. Traders are pricing high probabilities for firms like GlobalFoundries, Rigetti, and D-Wave based on ongoing award pipelines and national-security priorities, with further announcements expected before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$168,588Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration has accelerated U.S. industrial policy by converting CHIPS Act funding and other federal incentives into equity stakes in private firms, prioritizing semiconductors, critical minerals, and quantum technologies to strengthen domestic supply chains and reduce reliance on foreign sources. Since early 2025, the government has announced or finalized roughly 30 such positions, including a 9.9 percent stake in Intel and interests in MP Materials, with recent July 2026 letters of intent covering additional semiconductor and quantum companies. Commerce Department rules now routinely tie awards to minority equity, warrants, or revenue-sharing terms, marking a shift from prior grant-and-loan approaches. Traders are pricing high probabilities for firms like GlobalFoundries, Rigetti, and D-Wave based on ongoing award pipelines and national-security priorities, with further announcements expected before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania