OpenAI holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment for topping LiveBench's Mathematics category by end of October 2026, reflecting its recent GPT-5.6 and related releases that have posted competitive scores on hard math tasks from recent competitions and AMPS-Hard. Anthropic follows closely with Claude 5 Opus and Fable variants demonstrating strong performance in symbolic reasoning and integrals, while other labs like those behind emerging models from Alibaba, Meta, or DeepSeek sit near parity due to rapid iteration cycles. The market's tight clustering around 50% underscores uncertainty from LiveBench's monthly refreshes, which introduce fresh, contamination-resistant problems that reward advances in multi-step reasoning and benchmark-specific optimizations over broad capability claims. Upcoming model updates or fine-tunes before October could shift the leaderboard decisively.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
OpenAI 52%
Anthropic 48%
Meta <1%
SpaceXAI <1%

OpenAI
52%

Anthropic
48%

Meta
1%

SpaceXAI
1%

Microsoft
1%

DeepSeek
1%

Amazon
1%

ByteDance
1%

MiniMax
1%

StepFun
1%

Thinky
1%

1%

Alibaba
1%

Mistral
1%

Moonshot
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Tencent
<1%
OpenAI 52%
Anthropic 48%
Meta <1%
SpaceXAI <1%

OpenAI
52%

Anthropic
48%

Meta
1%

SpaceXAI
1%

Microsoft
1%

DeepSeek
1%

Amazon
1%

ByteDance
1%

MiniMax
1%

StepFun
1%

Thinky
1%

1%

Alibaba
1%

Mistral
1%

Moonshot
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Tencent
<1%
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment for topping LiveBench's Mathematics category by end of October 2026, reflecting its recent GPT-5.6 and related releases that have posted competitive scores on hard math tasks from recent competitions and AMPS-Hard. Anthropic follows closely with Claude 5 Opus and Fable variants demonstrating strong performance in symbolic reasoning and integrals, while other labs like those behind emerging models from Alibaba, Meta, or DeepSeek sit near parity due to rapid iteration cycles. The market's tight clustering around 50% underscores uncertainty from LiveBench's monthly refreshes, which introduce fresh, contamination-resistant problems that reward advances in multi-step reasoning and benchmark-specific optimizations over broad capability claims. Upcoming model updates or fine-tunes before October could shift the leaderboard decisively.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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