Recent releases of advanced large language models have positioned Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro as the primary contenders for third place behind OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and xAI’s Grok 4. Benchmark results released in April show Claude maintaining a consistent lead over Gemini in coding tasks and natural prose quality, while Gemini holds advantages in long-context reasoning and agentic workflows. These verified capability gaps explain the market-implied odds favoring Anthropic at 62 percent versus Google at 39 percent. No major updates have surfaced in the past two weeks, leaving trader consensus anchored to these performance differentials as the May 31 resolution date approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the third best AI model end of May?
Which company has the third best AI model end of May?
Anthropic 62%
Google 40%
OpenAI 1.8%
xAI <1%
$91,022 Wol.
$91,022 Wol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
62%
40%
OpenAI
2%
xAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
Meta
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meituan
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 62%
Google 40%
OpenAI 1.8%
xAI <1%
$91,022 Wol.
$91,022 Wol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$13,880 Wol.
62%
$10,692 Wol.
40%
OpenAI
$6,933 Wol.
2%
xAI
$7,462 Wol.
1%
Baidu
$5,736 Wol.
<1%
Meta
$5,586 Wol.
<1%
Z.ai
$4,345 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$7,320 Wol.
<1%
Alibaba
$5,483 Wol.
<1%
Moonshot
$3,740 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$2,528 Wol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$6,753 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$3,591 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$2,361 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$4,613 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent releases of advanced large language models have positioned Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro as the primary contenders for third place behind OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and xAI’s Grok 4. Benchmark results released in April show Claude maintaining a consistent lead over Gemini in coding tasks and natural prose quality, while Gemini holds advantages in long-context reasoning and agentic workflows. These verified capability gaps explain the market-implied odds favoring Anthropic at 62 percent versus Google at 39 percent. No major updates have surfaced in the past two weeks, leaving trader consensus anchored to these performance differentials as the May 31 resolution date approaches.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$91,022Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent releases of advanced large language models have positioned Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro as the primary contenders for third place behind OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and xAI’s Grok 4. Benchmark results released in April show Claude maintaining a consistent lead over Gemini in coding tasks and natural prose quality, while Gemini holds advantages in long-context reasoning and agentic workflows. These verified capability gaps explain the market-implied odds favoring Anthropic at 62 percent versus Google at 39 percent. No major updates have surfaced in the past two weeks, leaving trader consensus anchored to these performance differentials as the May 31 resolution date approaches.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Wolumen
$91,022Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent releases of advanced large language models have positioned Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro as the primary contenders for third place behind OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and xAI’s Grok 4. Benchmark results released in April show Claude maintaining a consistent lead over Gemini in coding tasks and natural prose quality, while Gemini holds advantages in long-context reasoning and agentic workflows. These verified capability gaps explain the market-implied odds favoring Anthropic at 62 percent versus Google at 39 percent. No major updates have surfaced in the past two weeks, leaving trader consensus anchored to these performance differentials as the May 31 resolution date approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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