US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled amid conflicting signals on resuming senior-level talks before the August 31 deadline. President Trump has publicly insisted negotiations continue despite Iranian denials of direct engagement, while Tehran reports no progress reviving the June interim memorandum and focuses instead on Oman- and Pakistan-mediated discussions over the Strait of Hormuz. Recent technical sessions in Switzerland produced limited commitments on nuclear inspections and sanctions relief, yet both sides accuse each other of non-compliance, with the IRGC maintaining readiness against escalation. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether any formal round involving US or Iranian principals will occur in the narrow remaining window, influenced by ongoing mediator shuttle efforts and domestic political pressures in both capitals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$90,664 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
Nick Stewart
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
32%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Jared Kushner
10%
Steve Witkoff
10%
Ishaq Dar
9%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
8%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
7%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Donald Trump
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Marco Rubio
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
$90,664 Wol.
Nick Stewart
$36 Wol.
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$253 Wol.
32%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,597 Wol.
11%
Jared Kushner
$13,340 Wol.
10%
Steve Witkoff
$12,624 Wol.
10%
Ishaq Dar
$2,622 Wol.
9%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,420 Wol.
8%
Rafael Grossi
$881 Wol.
7%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,154 Wol.
7%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,647 Wol.
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 Wol.
6%
Donald Trump
$6,385 Wol.
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 Wol.
4%
Pete Hegseth
$2,568 Wol.
4%
Marco Rubio
$7,551 Wol.
3%
J.D. Vance
$10,803 Wol.
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,561 Wol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$456 Wol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled amid conflicting signals on resuming senior-level talks before the August 31 deadline. President Trump has publicly insisted negotiations continue despite Iranian denials of direct engagement, while Tehran reports no progress reviving the June interim memorandum and focuses instead on Oman- and Pakistan-mediated discussions over the Strait of Hormuz. Recent technical sessions in Switzerland produced limited commitments on nuclear inspections and sanctions relief, yet both sides accuse each other of non-compliance, with the IRGC maintaining readiness against escalation. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether any formal round involving US or Iranian principals will occur in the narrow remaining window, influenced by ongoing mediator shuttle efforts and domestic political pressures in both capitals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$90,664Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled amid conflicting signals on resuming senior-level talks before the August 31 deadline. President Trump has publicly insisted negotiations continue despite Iranian denials of direct engagement, while Tehran reports no progress reviving the June interim memorandum and focuses instead on Oman- and Pakistan-mediated discussions over the Strait of Hormuz. Recent technical sessions in Switzerland produced limited commitments on nuclear inspections and sanctions relief, yet both sides accuse each other of non-compliance, with the IRGC maintaining readiness against escalation. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether any formal round involving US or Iranian principals will occur in the narrow remaining window, influenced by ongoing mediator shuttle efforts and domestic political pressures in both capitals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$90,664Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled amid conflicting signals on resuming senior-level talks before the August 31 deadline. President Trump has publicly insisted negotiations continue despite Iranian denials of direct engagement, while Tehran reports no progress reviving the June interim memorandum and focuses instead on Oman- and Pakistan-mediated discussions over the Strait of Hormuz. Recent technical sessions in Switzerland produced limited commitments on nuclear inspections and sanctions relief, yet both sides accuse each other of non-compliance, with the IRGC maintaining readiness against escalation. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether any formal round involving US or Iranian principals will occur in the narrow remaining window, influenced by ongoing mediator shuttle efforts and domestic political pressures in both capitals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania