Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Madison area, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Mark Pocan's 70 percent share in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the withdrawal of prior nominees. Pocan's strong fundraising and endorsements ahead of the August 11 primary reinforce this positioning, with traders viewing the outcome as structurally locked in. A major scandal, health issue, or unexpected primary surprise could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive opposition make such shifts improbable within the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWI-02 House Election Winner
WI-02 House Election Winner
$99,786 Wol.
$99,786 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$99,786 Wol.
$99,786 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$60,506 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$39,281 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Madison area, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Mark Pocan's 70 percent share in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the withdrawal of prior nominees. Pocan's strong fundraising and endorsements ahead of the August 11 primary reinforce this positioning, with traders viewing the outcome as structurally locked in. A major scandal, health issue, or unexpected primary surprise could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive opposition make such shifts improbable within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$99,786Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Madison area, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Mark Pocan's 70 percent share in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the withdrawal of prior nominees. Pocan's strong fundraising and endorsements ahead of the August 11 primary reinforce this positioning, with traders viewing the outcome as structurally locked in. A major scandal, health issue, or unexpected primary surprise could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive opposition make such shifts improbable within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$99,786Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Madison area, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Mark Pocan's 70 percent share in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the withdrawal of prior nominees. Pocan's strong fundraising and endorsements ahead of the August 11 primary reinforce this positioning, with traders viewing the outcome as structurally locked in. A major scandal, health issue, or unexpected primary surprise could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive opposition make such shifts improbable within the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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