**Republican incumbent Glenn Grothman holds a strong position in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and has not elected a Democrat since 1964. Grothman advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Bradley Smith narrowly won the Democratic nomination on August 11. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Grothman’s 61% victory in 2024 and an earlier 2026 poll showing him ahead of Smith by 22 points. Traders appear to price in the incumbent’s fundraising edge, the district’s consistent Republican tilt in presidential voting, and limited signs of a national environment capable of overcoming these structural factors before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWI-06 House Election Winner
WI-06 House Election Winner
$31,665 Wol.
$31,665 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
10%
$31,665 Wol.
$31,665 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$17,652 Wol.
89%
Democratic Party
$14,013 Wol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Glenn Grothman holds a strong position in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and has not elected a Democrat since 1964. Grothman advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Bradley Smith narrowly won the Democratic nomination on August 11. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Grothman’s 61% victory in 2024 and an earlier 2026 poll showing him ahead of Smith by 22 points. Traders appear to price in the incumbent’s fundraising edge, the district’s consistent Republican tilt in presidential voting, and limited signs of a national environment capable of overcoming these structural factors before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$31,665Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Glenn Grothman holds a strong position in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and has not elected a Democrat since 1964. Grothman advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Bradley Smith narrowly won the Democratic nomination on August 11. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Grothman’s 61% victory in 2024 and an earlier 2026 poll showing him ahead of Smith by 22 points. Traders appear to price in the incumbent’s fundraising edge, the district’s consistent Republican tilt in presidential voting, and limited signs of a national environment capable of overcoming these structural factors before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$31,665Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbent Glenn Grothman holds a strong position in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 and has not elected a Democrat since 1964. Grothman advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Bradley Smith narrowly won the Democratic nomination on August 11. Multiple nonpartisan rating outlets classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Grothman’s 61% victory in 2024 and an earlier 2026 poll showing him ahead of Smith by 22 points. Traders appear to price in the incumbent’s fundraising edge, the district’s consistent Republican tilt in presidential voting, and limited signs of a national environment capable of overcoming these structural factors before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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