Persistent elevated error rates and partial outages across Claude's large language models, including Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6, have hit seven distinct days through May 13—May 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, and 13—per status.claude.com, fueling trader consensus for significant May downtime. With 41.5% market-implied odds on 12+ days amid Anthropic's aggressive scaling to match OpenAI's GPT advancements and xAI's Grok, sentiment reflects capacity strains from surging demand for AI coding agents and complex reasoning tasks. Closely contested pricing for 6-8 days (34%) and 9-11 days (30.5%) hinges on whether infrastructure upgrades stabilize services in the remaining 17 days or if competitive pressures trigger more disruptions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Claude go down on __ days in May?
Will Claude go down on __ days in May?
12+ 31%
9-11 31%
6-8 20.5%
3-5 16.3%
$33,491 Wol.
$33,491 Wol.
May 31, 2026
3-5
14%
6-8
34%
9-11
31%
12+
42%
12+ 31%
9-11 31%
6-8 20.5%
3-5 16.3%
$33,491 Wol.
$33,491 Wol.
May 31, 2026
3-5
$3,858 Wol.
14%
6-8
$1,093 Wol.
34%
9-11
$659 Wol.
31%
12+
$4,982 Wol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Persistent elevated error rates and partial outages across Claude's large language models, including Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6, have hit seven distinct days through May 13—May 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, and 13—per status.claude.com, fueling trader consensus for significant May downtime. With 41.5% market-implied odds on 12+ days amid Anthropic's aggressive scaling to match OpenAI's GPT advancements and xAI's Grok, sentiment reflects capacity strains from surging demand for AI coding agents and complex reasoning tasks. Closely contested pricing for 6-8 days (34%) and 9-11 days (30.5%) hinges on whether infrastructure upgrades stabilize services in the remaining 17 days or if competitive pressures trigger more disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Rynek otwarty: Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Wolumen
$33,491Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Persistent elevated error rates and partial outages across Claude's large language models, including Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6, have hit seven distinct days through May 13—May 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, and 13—per status.claude.com, fueling trader consensus for significant May downtime. With 41.5% market-implied odds on 12+ days amid Anthropic's aggressive scaling to match OpenAI's GPT advancements and xAI's Grok, sentiment reflects capacity strains from surging demand for AI coding agents and complex reasoning tasks. Closely contested pricing for 6-8 days (34%) and 9-11 days (30.5%) hinges on whether infrastructure upgrades stabilize services in the remaining 17 days or if competitive pressures trigger more disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Wolumen
$33,491Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent elevated error rates and partial outages across Claude's large language models, including Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6, have hit seven distinct days through May 13—May 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, and 13—per status.claude.com, fueling trader consensus for significant May downtime. With 41.5% market-implied odds on 12+ days amid Anthropic's aggressive scaling to match OpenAI's GPT advancements and xAI's Grok, sentiment reflects capacity strains from surging demand for AI coding agents and complex reasoning tasks. Closely contested pricing for 6-8 days (34%) and 9-11 days (30.5%) hinges on whether infrastructure upgrades stabilize services in the remaining 17 days or if competitive pressures trigger more disruptions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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