The Israeli Knesset dissolved on July 17, 2026, after completing its full four-year term—the first such instance since 1988—following coalition confirmation that the October 27 date set by the Basic Law would stand without early dissolution or snap vote. Party lists were submitted by the September 9 deadline, aligning with the statutory timeline for the 26th Knesset election and reinforcing procedural stability amid ongoing security challenges. Traders assign 95.9% implied probability to an on-schedule vote because these institutional steps have locked in the calendar with minimal scope for last-minute shifts. Rare disruptions could still arise from a supermajority vote extending the term under Article 9a due to exceptional circumstances or a major unforeseen crisis halting preparations, though no such developments have materialized in recent months.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano96% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 27, 2026
96% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 27, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Israeli Knesset dissolved on July 17, 2026, after completing its full four-year term—the first such instance since 1988—following coalition confirmation that the October 27 date set by the Basic Law would stand without early dissolution or snap vote. Party lists were submitted by the September 9 deadline, aligning with the statutory timeline for the 26th Knesset election and reinforcing procedural stability amid ongoing security challenges. Traders assign 95.9% implied probability to an on-schedule vote because these institutional steps have locked in the calendar with minimal scope for last-minute shifts. Rare disruptions could still arise from a supermajority vote extending the term under Article 9a due to exceptional circumstances or a major unforeseen crisis halting preparations, though no such developments have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,898Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Israeli Knesset dissolved on July 17, 2026, after completing its full four-year term—the first such instance since 1988—following coalition confirmation that the October 27 date set by the Basic Law would stand without early dissolution or snap vote. Party lists were submitted by the September 9 deadline, aligning with the statutory timeline for the 26th Knesset election and reinforcing procedural stability amid ongoing security challenges. Traders assign 95.9% implied probability to an on-schedule vote because these institutional steps have locked in the calendar with minimal scope for last-minute shifts. Rare disruptions could still arise from a supermajority vote extending the term under Article 9a due to exceptional circumstances or a major unforeseen crisis halting preparations, though no such developments have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$9,898Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...The Israeli Knesset dissolved on July 17, 2026, after completing its full four-year term—the first such instance since 1988—following coalition confirmation that the October 27 date set by the Basic Law would stand without early dissolution or snap vote. Party lists were submitted by the September 9 deadline, aligning with the statutory timeline for the 26th Knesset election and reinforcing procedural stability amid ongoing security challenges. Traders assign 95.9% implied probability to an on-schedule vote because these institutional steps have locked in the calendar with minimal scope for last-minute shifts. Rare disruptions could still arise from a supermajority vote extending the term under Article 9a due to exceptional circumstances or a major unforeseen crisis halting preparations, though no such developments have materialized in recent months.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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