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2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader

icon for 2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader
Desporto·PGA

2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader

Alex Smalley 49%

Nicolai Højgaard 49%

Matt Fitzpatrick 49%

Robert MacIntyre 49%

Polymarket
NOVO

Alex Smalley 49%

Nicolai Højgaard 49%

Matt Fitzpatrick 49%

Robert MacIntyre 49%

Polymarket
NOVO

Alex Smalley

$0 Vol.

49%

Nicolai Højgaard

$0 Vol.

49%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

49%

Robert MacIntyre

$0 Vol.

49%

Sepp Straka

$0 Vol.

49%

Tyrrell Hatton

$0 Vol.

49%

Adam Scott

$0 Vol.

49%

Carlos Ortiz

$0 Vol.

49%

Joaquin Niemann

$0 Vol.

49%

Tommy Fleetwood

$0 Vol.

49%

Jon Rahm

$0 Vol.

49%

Aaron Rai

$0 Vol.

49%

Collin Morikawa

$0 Vol.

49%

Si Woo Kim

$0 Vol.

49%

Sam Burns

$0 Vol.

46%

Kurt Kitayama

$0 Vol.

46%

Akshay Bhatia

$0 Vol.

46%

Viktor Hovland

$0 Vol.

46%

Kristoffer Reitan

$0 Vol.

46%

Ryan Gerard

$0 Vol.

46%

Harris English

$0 Vol.

46%

Cameron Smith

$0 Vol.

46%

Scottie Scheffler

$0 Vol.

45%

Min Woo Lee

$0 Vol.

45%

Hideki Matsuyama

$0 Vol.

44%

Rory McIlroy

$0 Vol.

43%

Bryson DeChambeau

$0 Vol.

43%

Jacob Bridgeman

$0 Vol.

41%

Keegan Bradley

$0 Vol.

40%

Daniel Berger

$0 Vol.

40%

Rickie Fowler

$0 Vol.

38%

Russell Henley

$0 Vol.

37%

Cameron Young

$0 Vol.

37%

Jake Knapp

$0 Vol.

36%

J.T. Poston

$0 Vol.

33%

Dustin Johnson

$0 Vol.

32%

J.J. Spaun

$7 Vol.

30%

Patrick Reed

$0 Vol.

27%

Gary Woodland

$0 Vol.

27%

Ludvig Åberg

$0 Vol.

27%

Bud Cauley

$0 Vol.

27%

David Puig

$0 Vol.

27%

Xander Schauffele

$0 Vol.

27%

Laurie Canter

$0 Vol.

27%

Chris Gotterup

$0 Vol.

27%

Justin Rose

$0 Vol.

27%

Alex Noren

$0 Vol.

26%

Jordan Spieth

$0 Vol.

26%

Justin Thomas

$0 Vol.

26%

Jason Day

$0 Vol.

26%

Maverick McNealy

$0 Vol.

26%

Patrick Cantlay

$0 Vol.

26%

Ben Griffin

$0 Vol.

26%

Wyndham Clark

$0 Vol.

24%

Shane Lowry

$0 Vol.

24%

Lucas Herbert

$0 Vol.

22%

Michael Kim

$0 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The demanding layout at Shinnecock Hills, with its firm turf, thick rough, and exposure to coastal winds, creates volatile first-round scoring conditions that favor no single player. Historical U.S. Open trends at this venue show first-round leaders often emerging from mid-tier or lesser-known names who capitalize on calmer early waves or hot putting streaks, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Recent form, ball-striking consistency, and course history provide marginal edges for established names like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy, yet the market reflects broad parity as any of dozens of competitors can post a low round before afternoon gusts intensify. This dynamic sustains competitive implied probabilities across a deep field ahead of the June 18 start.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$7
Data de Término
21 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The demanding layout at Shinnecock Hills, with its firm turf, thick rough, and exposure to coastal winds, creates volatile first-round scoring conditions that favor no single player. Historical U.S. Open trends at this venue show first-round leaders often emerging from mid-tier or lesser-known names who capitalize on calmer early waves or hot putting streaks, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Recent form, ball-striking consistency, and course history provide marginal edges for established names like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy, yet the market reflects broad parity as any of dozens of competitors can post a low round before afternoon gusts intensify. This dynamic sustains competitive implied probabilities across a deep field ahead of the June 18 start.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$7
Data de Término
21 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 57+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alex Smalley" at 49%, followed by "Nicolai Højgaard" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader," browse the 57+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader" is "Alex Smalley" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nicolai Højgaard" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 U.S. Open: First Round Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.