The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a deep, balanced field where no single player holds a decisive edge heading into the opening round, producing tightly bunched market prices across dozens of contenders for second-round leader. Pre-tournament uncertainty around variable winds, firm conditions, and the course's historical tendency for low-scoring surprises or shared leads after 36 holes supports the even distribution, as seen in past Shinnecock Opens. Recent form from players like Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Russell Henley, combined with established major performers such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm, creates multiple realistic paths to an early lead through strong ball-striking and putting streaks. This setup leaves room for dark horses or mid-tier names to surge on favorable draws while limiting any one golfer's implied probability in trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJason Day 97%
Cameron Smith 97%
Carlos Ortiz 97%
Shane Lowry 97%
Jason Day
97%
Cameron Smith
97%
Carlos Ortiz
97%
Shane Lowry
97%
Adam Scott
97%
Joaquin Niemann
95%
Jake Knapp
93%
Gary Woodland
67%
Michael Kim
66%
Jordan Spieth
64%
Daniel Berger
53%
Lucas Herbert
52%
Dustin Johnson
51%
Tommy Fleetwood
44%
Harris English
44%
J.J. Spaun
44%
Scottie Scheffler
43%
Xander Schauffele
43%
Alex Noren
43%
Nicolai Højgaard
43%
Bryson DeChambeau
42%
Wyndham Clark
42%
Matt Fitzpatrick
42%
Jon Rahm
41%
Jacob Bridgeman
40%
Si Woo Kim
39%
Russell Henley
39%
Kurt Kitayama
38%
Kristoffer Reitan
38%
Chris Gotterup
38%
Cameron Young
37%
J.T. Poston
37%
Ryan Gerard
37%
Collin Morikawa
37%
Alex Smalley
36%
Sepp Straka
35%
Bud Cauley
35%
Aaron Rai
35%
Rickie Fowler
35%
Ben Griffin
34%
Akshay Bhatia
34%
Keegan Bradley
34%
Viktor Hovland
32%
Robert MacIntyre
31%
Tyrrell Hatton
31%
Hideki Matsuyama
27%
Patrick Cantlay
26%
Patrick Reed
25%
Rory McIlroy
24%
Ludvig Åberg
23%
Min Woo Lee
21%
Sam Burns
20%
Maverick McNealy
22%
Justin Rose
28%
David Puig
-
Laurie Canter
-
Justin Thomas
41%
Jason Day 97%
Cameron Smith 97%
Carlos Ortiz 97%
Shane Lowry 97%
Jason Day
97%
Cameron Smith
97%
Carlos Ortiz
97%
Shane Lowry
97%
Adam Scott
97%
Joaquin Niemann
95%
Jake Knapp
93%
Gary Woodland
67%
Michael Kim
66%
Jordan Spieth
64%
Daniel Berger
53%
Lucas Herbert
52%
Dustin Johnson
51%
Tommy Fleetwood
44%
Harris English
44%
J.J. Spaun
44%
Scottie Scheffler
43%
Xander Schauffele
43%
Alex Noren
43%
Nicolai Højgaard
43%
Bryson DeChambeau
42%
Wyndham Clark
42%
Matt Fitzpatrick
42%
Jon Rahm
41%
Jacob Bridgeman
40%
Si Woo Kim
39%
Russell Henley
39%
Kurt Kitayama
38%
Kristoffer Reitan
38%
Chris Gotterup
38%
Cameron Young
37%
J.T. Poston
37%
Ryan Gerard
37%
Collin Morikawa
37%
Alex Smalley
36%
Sepp Straka
35%
Bud Cauley
35%
Aaron Rai
35%
Rickie Fowler
35%
Ben Griffin
34%
Akshay Bhatia
34%
Keegan Bradley
34%
Viktor Hovland
32%
Robert MacIntyre
31%
Tyrrell Hatton
31%
Hideki Matsuyama
27%
Patrick Cantlay
26%
Patrick Reed
25%
Rory McIlroy
24%
Ludvig Åberg
23%
Min Woo Lee
21%
Sam Burns
20%
Maverick McNealy
22%
Justin Rose
28%
David Puig
-
Laurie Canter
-
Justin Thomas
41%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Mercado Aberto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a deep, balanced field where no single player holds a decisive edge heading into the opening round, producing tightly bunched market prices across dozens of contenders for second-round leader. Pre-tournament uncertainty around variable winds, firm conditions, and the course's historical tendency for low-scoring surprises or shared leads after 36 holes supports the even distribution, as seen in past Shinnecock Opens. Recent form from players like Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Russell Henley, combined with established major performers such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm, creates multiple realistic paths to an early lead through strong ball-striking and putting streaks. This setup leaves room for dark horses or mid-tier names to surge on favorable draws while limiting any one golfer's implied probability in trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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