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icon for 2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader

2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader

icon for 2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader

2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader

Jason Day 97%

Cameron Smith 97%

Carlos Ortiz 97%

Shane Lowry 97%

Polymarket
NOVO

Jason Day 97%

Cameron Smith 97%

Carlos Ortiz 97%

Shane Lowry 97%

Polymarket
NOVO

Jason Day

$20 Vol.

97%

Cameron Smith

$20 Vol.

97%

Carlos Ortiz

$20 Vol.

97%

Shane Lowry

$20 Vol.

97%

Adam Scott

$20 Vol.

97%

Joaquin Niemann

$20 Vol.

95%

Jake Knapp

$20 Vol.

93%

Gary Woodland

$20 Vol.

67%

Michael Kim

$20 Vol.

66%

Jordan Spieth

$20 Vol.

64%

Daniel Berger

$20 Vol.

53%

Lucas Herbert

$20 Vol.

52%

Dustin Johnson

$20 Vol.

51%

Tommy Fleetwood

$45 Vol.

44%

Harris English

$45 Vol.

44%

J.J. Spaun

$45 Vol.

44%

Scottie Scheffler

$45 Vol.

43%

Xander Schauffele

$45 Vol.

43%

Alex Noren

$45 Vol.

43%

Nicolai Højgaard

$45 Vol.

43%

Bryson DeChambeau

$45 Vol.

42%

Wyndham Clark

$45 Vol.

42%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$45 Vol.

42%

Jon Rahm

$45 Vol.

41%

Jacob Bridgeman

$45 Vol.

40%

Si Woo Kim

$45 Vol.

39%

Russell Henley

$45 Vol.

39%

Kurt Kitayama

$45 Vol.

38%

Kristoffer Reitan

$45 Vol.

38%

Chris Gotterup

$45 Vol.

38%

Cameron Young

$45 Vol.

37%

J.T. Poston

$45 Vol.

37%

Ryan Gerard

$45 Vol.

37%

Collin Morikawa

$45 Vol.

37%

Alex Smalley

$45 Vol.

36%

Sepp Straka

$45 Vol.

35%

Bud Cauley

$45 Vol.

35%

Aaron Rai

$45 Vol.

35%

Rickie Fowler

$45 Vol.

35%

Ben Griffin

$45 Vol.

34%

Akshay Bhatia

$45 Vol.

34%

Keegan Bradley

$45 Vol.

34%

Viktor Hovland

$45 Vol.

32%

Robert MacIntyre

$45 Vol.

31%

Tyrrell Hatton

$45 Vol.

31%

Hideki Matsuyama

$45 Vol.

27%

Patrick Cantlay

$45 Vol.

26%

Patrick Reed

$45 Vol.

25%

Rory McIlroy

$45 Vol.

24%

Ludvig Åberg

$45 Vol.

23%

Min Woo Lee

$45 Vol.

21%

Sam Burns

$45 Vol.

20%

Maverick McNealy

$45 Vol.

22%

Justin Rose

$45 Vol.

28%

David Puig

$20 Vol.

-

Laurie Canter

$20 Vol.

-

Justin Thomas

$45 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a deep, balanced field where no single player holds a decisive edge heading into the opening round, producing tightly bunched market prices across dozens of contenders for second-round leader. Pre-tournament uncertainty around variable winds, firm conditions, and the course's historical tendency for low-scoring surprises or shared leads after 36 holes supports the even distribution, as seen in past Shinnecock Opens. Recent form from players like Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Russell Henley, combined with established major performers such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm, creates multiple realistic paths to an early lead through strong ball-striking and putting streaks. This setup leaves room for dark horses or mid-tier names to surge on favorable draws while limiting any one golfer's implied probability in trader consensus.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$2,190
Data de Término
21 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a deep, balanced field where no single player holds a decisive edge heading into the opening round, producing tightly bunched market prices across dozens of contenders for second-round leader. Pre-tournament uncertainty around variable winds, firm conditions, and the course's historical tendency for low-scoring surprises or shared leads after 36 holes supports the even distribution, as seen in past Shinnecock Opens. Recent form from players like Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Russell Henley, combined with established major performers such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm, creates multiple realistic paths to an early lead through strong ball-striking and putting streaks. This setup leaves room for dark horses or mid-tier names to surge on favorable draws while limiting any one golfer's implied probability in trader consensus.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$2,190
Data de Término
21 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 57+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jason Day" at 49%, followed by "Cameron Smith" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader," browse the 57+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader" is "Jason Day" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cameron Smith" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 U.S. Open: Second Round Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.