Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic vice presidential nomination shows a fragmented field, with Barack Obama atop at 18.2% implied probability due to unmatched name recognition and enduring popularity among party voters, narrowly ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 15% following her recent interview demurrals on presidential ambitions that fueled broader 2028 speculation. NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani's 14.3% reflects momentum from his May 13 housing policy announcement and 100-day achievements after a high-profile mayoral win, while celebrities Kim Kardashian and George Clooney draw bets on crossover appeal. This tight race persists amid low trading volume and no dominant presidential nominee yet; 2026 midterm outcomes for governors like Gretchen Whitmer or J.B. Pritzker, plus key endorsements, could widen leads.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNomeado VP Democrático 2028
Nomeado VP Democrático 2028
George Clooney 16.2%
Raphael Warnock 14.6%
Zohran Mamdani 14.4%
Oprah Winfrey 14.4%
$13,466 Vol.
$13,466 Vol.
Gavin Newsom
5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
15%
Pete Buttigieg
7%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Wes Moore
4%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Kamala Harris
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
4%
Jon Ossoff
4%
Mark Cuban
1%
J.B. Pritzker
13%
Raphael Warnock
15%
Cory Booker
<1%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
10%
Mark Kelly
2%
Rahm Emanuel
<1%
Gina Raimondo
1%
Zohran Mamdani
14%
Roy Cooper
1%
John Fetterman
<1%
Jared Polis
1%
Jon Stewart
<1%
Barack Obama
7%
Hillary Clinton
1%
Liz Cheney
1%
Bernie Sanders
10%
Phil Murphy
2%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
George Clooney
16%
Chelsea Clinton
13%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
14%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
3%
Kim Kardashian
16%
Chris Murphy
<1%
Ruben Gallego
6%
Ro Khanna
9%
James Talarico
9%
Elissa Slotkin
3%
George Clooney 16.2%
Raphael Warnock 14.6%
Zohran Mamdani 14.4%
Oprah Winfrey 14.4%
$13,466 Vol.
$13,466 Vol.
Gavin Newsom
5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
15%
Pete Buttigieg
7%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Wes Moore
4%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Kamala Harris
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
4%
Jon Ossoff
4%
Mark Cuban
1%
J.B. Pritzker
13%
Raphael Warnock
15%
Cory Booker
<1%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
10%
Mark Kelly
2%
Rahm Emanuel
<1%
Gina Raimondo
1%
Zohran Mamdani
14%
Roy Cooper
1%
John Fetterman
<1%
Jared Polis
1%
Jon Stewart
<1%
Barack Obama
7%
Hillary Clinton
1%
Liz Cheney
1%
Bernie Sanders
10%
Phil Murphy
2%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
George Clooney
16%
Chelsea Clinton
13%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
14%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
3%
Kim Kardashian
16%
Chris Murphy
<1%
Ruben Gallego
6%
Ro Khanna
9%
James Talarico
9%
Elissa Slotkin
3%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic vice presidential nomination shows a fragmented field, with Barack Obama atop at 18.2% implied probability due to unmatched name recognition and enduring popularity among party voters, narrowly ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 15% following her recent interview demurrals on presidential ambitions that fueled broader 2028 speculation. NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani's 14.3% reflects momentum from his May 13 housing policy announcement and 100-day achievements after a high-profile mayoral win, while celebrities Kim Kardashian and George Clooney draw bets on crossover appeal. This tight race persists amid low trading volume and no dominant presidential nominee yet; 2026 midterm outcomes for governors like Gretchen Whitmer or J.B. Pritzker, plus key endorsements, could widen leads.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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