The evenly distributed probabilities across mid-range buckets like 180-199 and 200-219 reflect traders pricing in Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity, driven by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX updates rather than any singular breakout event in mid-July 2026. Routine company milestones, regulatory news, and platform engagement keep his weekly output variable but typically clustered in the 140-239 range, with limited anticipated spikes from launches or product reveals during the period. Historical resolution data from similar weekly markets reinforces this consensus, as momentum shifts often hinge on breaking news cycles or personal commentary that can push totals higher or lower.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado180-199 16%
200-219 13%
160-179 12%
220-239 12%
NOVO
$36,434 Vol.
NOVO
$36,434 Vol.
21 jul 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
3%
120-139
9%
140-159
7%
160-179
12%
180-199
16%
200-219
13%
220-239
12%
240-259
12%
260-279
9%
280-299
5%
300-319
3%
320-339
2%
340-359
2%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 16%
200-219 13%
160-179 12%
220-239 12%
NOVO
$36,434 Vol.
NOVO
$36,434 Vol.
21 jul 2026
<20
$6,188 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$6,183 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$2,981 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$1,812 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$178 Vol.
1%
100-119
$646 Vol.
3%
120-139
$658 Vol.
9%
140-159
$747 Vol.
7%
160-179
$474 Vol.
12%
180-199
$249 Vol.
16%
200-219
$218 Vol.
13%
220-239
$152 Vol.
12%
240-259
$792 Vol.
12%
260-279
$537 Vol.
9%
280-299
$263 Vol.
5%
300-319
$64 Vol.
3%
320-339
$713 Vol.
2%
340-359
$388 Vol.
2%
360-379
$232 Vol.
1%
380-399
$196 Vol.
1%
400-419
$574 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$168 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$4,188 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$3,238 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$3,243 Vol.
<1%
500+
$1,354 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 14 12:00 PM ET to July 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The evenly distributed probabilities across mid-range buckets like 180-199 and 200-219 reflect traders pricing in Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity, driven by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX updates rather than any singular breakout event in mid-July 2026. Routine company milestones, regulatory news, and platform engagement keep his weekly output variable but typically clustered in the 140-239 range, with limited anticipated spikes from launches or product reveals during the period. Historical resolution data from similar weekly markets reinforces this consensus, as momentum shifts often hinge on breaking news cycles or personal commentary that can push totals higher or lower.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 14 12:00 PM ET to July 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$36,434Data de Término
21 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 14 12:00 PM ET to July 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The evenly distributed probabilities across mid-range buckets like 180-199 and 200-219 reflect traders pricing in Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity, driven by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX updates rather than any singular breakout event in mid-July 2026. Routine company milestones, regulatory news, and platform engagement keep his weekly output variable but typically clustered in the 140-239 range, with limited anticipated spikes from launches or product reveals during the period. Historical resolution data from similar weekly markets reinforces this consensus, as momentum shifts often hinge on breaking news cycles or personal commentary that can push totals higher or lower.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 14 12:00 PM ET to July 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$36,434Data de Término
21 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...The evenly distributed probabilities across mid-range buckets like 180-199 and 200-219 reflect traders pricing in Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume X activity, driven by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX updates rather than any singular breakout event in mid-July 2026. Routine company milestones, regulatory news, and platform engagement keep his weekly output variable but typically clustered in the 140-239 range, with limited anticipated spikes from launches or product reveals during the period. Historical resolution data from similar weekly markets reinforces this consensus, as momentum shifts often hinge on breaking news cycles or personal commentary that can push totals higher or lower.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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