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icon for Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

icon for Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Bélgica <1%

Croácia <1%

França <1%

Alemanha <1%

Polymarket

$193,908,446 Vol.

Bélgica <1%

Croácia <1%

França <1%

Alemanha <1%

Polymarket

$193,908,446 Vol.

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$5,420,855 Vol.

<1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$5,652,938 Vol.

<1%

icon for França

França

$4,296,627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$4,629,156 Vol.

<1%

icon for Israel

Israel

$5,353,454 Vol.

<1%

icon for Moldávia

Moldávia

$5,407,178 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$3,202,899 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ucrânia

Ucrânia

$3,941,487 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$4,313,633 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$3,472,777 Vol.

<1%

icon for Finlândia

Finlândia

$6,594,927 Vol.

<1%

icon for Romênia

Romênia

$4,191,630 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria secured the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 title in the May 16 grand final at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, amassing 516 points through a commanding combination of jury and public votes for DARA's energetic "Bangaranga." Traders rapidly consolidated around the frontrunner after the live results confirmed Bulgaria's historic first victory, reflecting overwhelming industry and fan consensus on the standout staging, vocal delivery, and Balkan pop appeal. With the outcome now locked by official tallies, the market-implied odds mirror this decisive finish. Realistic upset scenarios remain limited to hypothetical post-contest disputes over voting irregularities, though none have surfaced in verified reports to date.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$193,908,446
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria secured the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 title in the May 16 grand final at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, amassing 516 points through a commanding combination of jury and public votes for DARA's energetic "Bangaranga." Traders rapidly consolidated around the frontrunner after the live results confirmed Bulgaria's historic first victory, reflecting overwhelming industry and fan consensus on the standout staging, vocal delivery, and Balkan pop appeal. With the outcome now locked by official tallies, the market-implied odds mirror this decisive finish. Realistic upset scenarios remain limited to hypothetical post-contest disputes over voting irregularities, though none have surfaced in verified reports to date.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$193,908,446
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bulgária" at 100%, followed by "Bélgica" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $193.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Bulgária" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bélgica" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.