Finland commands a dominant 43.9% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner in Vienna, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a violin-infused techno powerhouse that dominated pre-contest rehearsals and bookie odds with its jury-televote crossover appeal. Greece climbed to 14% after Akylas's edgy "Ferto," a sharp takedown of greed and overconsumption, secured first qualification from yesterday's Semi-Final 1, energizing trader sentiment amid strong live staging buzz. Denmark lingers at 12.5% as a compromise dark horse, with Søren Torpegaard Lund's heartfelt ballad "Før vi går hjem" poised for jury favor in tomorrow's Semi-Final 2. Final on May 16 could hinge on Big Five qualifiers and last-minute televote surges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor do Eurovisão 2026
Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026
Finlândia 43.9%
Grécia 14.0%
Dinamarca 12.5%
Austrália 5.6%
$157,862,519 Vol.
$157,862,519 Vol.

Finlândia
44%

Grécia
14%

Dinamarca
13%

Austrália
6%

Israel
6%

França
5%

Romênia
4%

Itália
2%

Moldávia
1%

Ucrânia
1%

Croácia
1%

Malta
1%

Suécia
1%

Chéquia
1%

Bulgária
1%

Chipre
1%

Albânia
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Sérvia
<1%

Luxemburgo
<1%

Polônia
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Alemanha
<1%

Letônia
<1%

Armênia
<1%

Lituânia
<1%

Suíça
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Azerbaijão
<1%
Finlândia 43.9%
Grécia 14.0%
Dinamarca 12.5%
Austrália 5.6%
$157,862,519 Vol.
$157,862,519 Vol.

Finlândia
44%

Grécia
14%

Dinamarca
13%

Austrália
6%

Israel
6%

França
5%

Romênia
4%

Itália
2%

Moldávia
1%

Ucrânia
1%

Croácia
1%

Malta
1%

Suécia
1%

Chéquia
1%

Bulgária
1%

Chipre
1%

Albânia
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Sérvia
<1%

Luxemburgo
<1%

Polônia
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Alemanha
<1%

Letônia
<1%

Armênia
<1%

Lituânia
<1%

Suíça
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Azerbaijão
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland commands a dominant 43.9% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner in Vienna, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a violin-infused techno powerhouse that dominated pre-contest rehearsals and bookie odds with its jury-televote crossover appeal. Greece climbed to 14% after Akylas's edgy "Ferto," a sharp takedown of greed and overconsumption, secured first qualification from yesterday's Semi-Final 1, energizing trader sentiment amid strong live staging buzz. Denmark lingers at 12.5% as a compromise dark horse, with Søren Torpegaard Lund's heartfelt ballad "Før vi går hjem" poised for jury favor in tomorrow's Semi-Final 2. Final on May 16 could hinge on Big Five qualifiers and last-minute televote surges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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