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icon for Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

icon for Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Finlândia 43.9%

Grécia 14.0%

Dinamarca 12.4%

Austrália 5.7%

Polymarket

$157,935,089 Vol.

Finlândia 43.9%

Grécia 14.0%

Dinamarca 12.4%

Austrália 5.7%

Polymarket

$157,935,089 Vol.

icon for Finlândia

Finlândia

$4,646,865 Vol.

44%

icon for Grécia

Grécia

$3,900,792 Vol.

14%

icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$2,428,026 Vol.

12%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$2,587,910 Vol.

6%

icon for Israel

Israel

$2,990,411 Vol.

5%

icon for França

França

$3,196,133 Vol.

5%

icon for Romênia

Romênia

$2,711,743 Vol.

4%

icon for Itália

Itália

$3,736,956 Vol.

2%

icon for Moldávia

Moldávia

$4,178,455 Vol.

1%

icon for Ucrânia

Ucrânia

$2,806,944 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$4,504,017 Vol.

1%

icon for Bulgária

Bulgária

$3,081,998 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$2,980,701 Vol.

1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$2,148,698 Vol.

1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$2,294,614 Vol.

1%

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$2,745,953 Vol.

1%

icon for Albânia

Albânia

$6,753,811 Vol.

<1%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$4,471,441 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sérvia

Sérvia

$5,580,076 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luxemburgo

Luxemburgo

$3,755,279 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polônia

Polônia

$6,438,661 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$7,250,348 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$3,373,556 Vol.

<1%

icon for Letônia

Letônia

$5,799,045 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armênia

Armênia

$6,514,117 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituânia

Lituânia

$5,259,907 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$5,743,496 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reino Unido

Reino Unido

$3,585,075 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$5,058,328 Vol.

<1%

icon for Azerbaijão

Azerbaijão

$6,700,567 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's frontrunner status at 43.9% implied probability stems from the duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's captivating "Liekinheitin," a violin-pop fusion that dominated Finland's UMK selection and wowed in yesterday's first semi-final, securing qualification with EBU-approved live violin theatrics boosting jury appeal and fan buzz via the top OGAE poll score. Greece's Akylas with "Ferto" follows at 14%, leveraging televote potential from its energetic staging in the same semi, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" holds 12.4% on strong rehearsals and Nordic momentum ahead of tomorrow's second semi-final. Traders eye jury-televote splits and Vienna final running order on May 16 as key swing factors in this crowded field.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$157,935,089
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's frontrunner status at 43.9% implied probability stems from the duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's captivating "Liekinheitin," a violin-pop fusion that dominated Finland's UMK selection and wowed in yesterday's first semi-final, securing qualification with EBU-approved live violin theatrics boosting jury appeal and fan buzz via the top OGAE poll score. Greece's Akylas with "Ferto" follows at 14%, leveraging televote potential from its energetic staging in the same semi, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" holds 12.4% on strong rehearsals and Nordic momentum ahead of tomorrow's second semi-final. Traders eye jury-televote splits and Vienna final running order on May 16 as key swing factors in this crowded field.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$157,935,089
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finlândia" at 44%, followed by "Grécia" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $157.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Finlândia" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Grécia" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.