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icon for Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

icon for Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Bulgária 100.0%

Albânia <1%

Áustria <1%

Bélgica <1%

Polymarket

$193,910,213 Vol.

Bulgária 100.0%

Albânia <1%

Áustria <1%

Bélgica <1%

Polymarket

$193,910,213 Vol.

icon for Albânia

Albânia

$8,005,195 Vol.

Não

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$8,108,125 Vol.

Não

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$5,420,855 Vol.

Não

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$5,653,066 Vol.

Não

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$3,523,122 Vol.

Não

icon for Estônia

Estônia

$6,341,724 Vol.

Não

icon for França

França

$4,296,627 Vol.

Não

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$4,629,156 Vol.

Não

icon for Israel

Israel

$5,354,730 Vol.

Não

icon for Letônia

Letônia

$6,075,605 Vol.

Não

icon for Luxemburgo

Luxemburgo

$4,032,301 Vol.

Não

icon for Moldávia

Moldávia

$5,407,178 Vol.

Não

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$6,091,906 Vol.

Não

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$5,657,864 Vol.

Não

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$5,867,564 Vol.

Não

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$3,202,899 Vol.

Não

icon for Ucrânia

Ucrânia

$3,941,487 Vol.

Não

icon for Armênia

Armênia

$6,682,675 Vol.

Não

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$4,637,731 Vol.

Não

icon for Azerbaijão

Azerbaijão

$6,764,132 Vol.

Não

icon for Bulgária

Bulgária

$6,729,770 Vol.

Sim

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$4,313,725 Vol.

Não

icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$3,472,777 Vol.

Não

icon for Finlândia

Finlândia

$6,594,936 Vol.

Não

icon for Geórgia

Geórgia

$6,229,476 Vol.

Não

icon for Grécia

Grécia

$4,876,393 Vol.

Não

icon for Itália

Itália

$4,904,251 Vol.

Não

icon for Lituânia

Lituânia

$6,084,448 Vol.

Não

icon for Malta

Malta

$4,428,777 Vol.

Não

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$6,619,309 Vol.

Não

icon for Polônia

Polônia

$8,390,985 Vol.

Não

icon for Romênia

Romênia

$4,191,630 Vol.

Não

icon for Sérvia

Sérvia

$6,728,335 Vol.

Não

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$5,849,121 Vol.

Não

icon for Reino Unido

Reino Unido

$4,802,339 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria's commanding position in the Eurovision Winner 2026 market stems from Dara's explosive live performance of "Bangaranga" in the grand final, where the high-energy dance anthem secured a decisive victory with 516 points by topping both the jury and televote tallies. Strong rehearsal buzz, dynamic staging, and broad audience appeal propelled the track past pre-final frontrunners like Finland and Australia, marking Bulgaria's first win and return to the contest since 2022. Traders have priced in this outcome as near-certain given the confirmed results, though an upset could still emerge only in the event of a recount or scoring error—scenarios that remain highly improbable at this stage.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$193,910,213
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria's commanding position in the Eurovision Winner 2026 market stems from Dara's explosive live performance of "Bangaranga" in the grand final, where the high-energy dance anthem secured a decisive victory with 516 points by topping both the jury and televote tallies. Strong rehearsal buzz, dynamic staging, and broad audience appeal propelled the track past pre-final frontrunners like Finland and Australia, marking Bulgaria's first win and return to the contest since 2022. Traders have priced in this outcome as near-certain given the confirmed results, though an upset could still emerge only in the event of a recount or scoring error—scenarios that remain highly improbable at this stage.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$193,910,213
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bulgária" at 100%, followed by "Albânia" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $193.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Bulgária" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Albânia" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.