Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as the clear frontrunner with "Liekinheitin" after a standout performance and qualification in yesterday's Semi-final 1 in Vienna, where the duo's live violin spectacle and passionate lyrics on desire ignited jury and televote buzz, extending their commanding market-implied 44% probability. Their UMK national final triumph, bolstered by dominant rehearsal feedback and OGAE fan poll victories, has traders piling in, viewing the entry's high-energy blend as a winner in both jury and public votes. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") at 14% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") at 12% hold as key challengers post-rehearsals, but Semi-final 2 tomorrow and Saturday's grand final could spark upsets amid unpredictable voting splits.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor do Eurovisão 2026
Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026
Finlândia 43.9%
Grécia 14.0%
Dinamarca 12.3%
Austrália 5.7%
$158,000,040 Vol.
$158,000,040 Vol.

Finlândia
44%

Grécia
14%

Dinamarca
12%

Austrália
6%

Israel
5%

França
5%

Romênia
4%

Itália
2%

Moldávia
1%

Ucrânia
1%

Bulgária
1%

Croácia
1%

Malta
1%

Suécia
1%

Chéquia
1%

Chipre
1%

Albânia
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Sérvia
<1%

Luxemburgo
<1%

Polônia
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Alemanha
<1%

Letônia
<1%

Armênia
<1%

Lituânia
<1%

Suíça
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Azerbaijão
<1%
Finlândia 43.9%
Grécia 14.0%
Dinamarca 12.3%
Austrália 5.7%
$158,000,040 Vol.
$158,000,040 Vol.

Finlândia
44%

Grécia
14%

Dinamarca
12%

Austrália
6%

Israel
5%

França
5%

Romênia
4%

Itália
2%

Moldávia
1%

Ucrânia
1%

Bulgária
1%

Croácia
1%

Malta
1%

Suécia
1%

Chéquia
1%

Chipre
1%

Albânia
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Sérvia
<1%

Luxemburgo
<1%

Polônia
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Alemanha
<1%

Letônia
<1%

Armênia
<1%

Lituânia
<1%

Suíça
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Azerbaijão
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as the clear frontrunner with "Liekinheitin" after a standout performance and qualification in yesterday's Semi-final 1 in Vienna, where the duo's live violin spectacle and passionate lyrics on desire ignited jury and televote buzz, extending their commanding market-implied 44% probability. Their UMK national final triumph, bolstered by dominant rehearsal feedback and OGAE fan poll victories, has traders piling in, viewing the entry's high-energy blend as a winner in both jury and public votes. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") at 14% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") at 12% hold as key challengers post-rehearsals, but Semi-final 2 tomorrow and Saturday's grand final could spark upsets amid unpredictable voting splits.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions