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icon for Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

icon for Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Finlândia 43.9%

Grécia 14.0%

Dinamarca 12.3%

Austrália 5.7%

Polymarket

$158,000,040 Vol.

Finlândia 43.9%

Grécia 14.0%

Dinamarca 12.3%

Austrália 5.7%

Polymarket

$158,000,040 Vol.

icon for Finlândia

Finlândia

$4,647,039 Vol.

44%

icon for Grécia

Grécia

$3,902,631 Vol.

14%

icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$2,429,272 Vol.

12%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$2,588,715 Vol.

6%

icon for Israel

Israel

$2,991,092 Vol.

5%

icon for França

França

$3,196,159 Vol.

5%

icon for Romênia

Romênia

$2,742,347 Vol.

4%

icon for Itália

Itália

$3,737,151 Vol.

2%

icon for Moldávia

Moldávia

$4,179,404 Vol.

1%

icon for Ucrânia

Ucrânia

$2,809,901 Vol.

1%

icon for Bulgária

Bulgária

$3,083,712 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$4,505,473 Vol.

1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$2,980,701 Vol.

1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$2,149,453 Vol.

1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$2,323,004 Vol.

1%

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$2,748,741 Vol.

1%

icon for Albânia

Albânia

$6,753,811 Vol.

<1%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$4,472,249 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sérvia

Sérvia

$5,580,454 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luxemburgo

Luxemburgo

$3,755,279 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polônia

Polônia

$6,438,954 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$7,250,394 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$3,373,556 Vol.

<1%

icon for Letônia

Letônia

$5,799,045 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armênia

Armênia

$6,514,546 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituânia

Lituânia

$5,260,314 Vol.

<1%

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$5,744,472 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reino Unido

Reino Unido

$3,585,217 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$5,058,328 Vol.

<1%

icon for Azerbaijão

Azerbaijão

$6,700,567 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as the clear frontrunner with "Liekinheitin" after a standout performance and qualification in yesterday's Semi-final 1 in Vienna, where the duo's live violin spectacle and passionate lyrics on desire ignited jury and televote buzz, extending their commanding market-implied 44% probability. Their UMK national final triumph, bolstered by dominant rehearsal feedback and OGAE fan poll victories, has traders piling in, viewing the entry's high-energy blend as a winner in both jury and public votes. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") at 14% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") at 12% hold as key challengers post-rehearsals, but Semi-final 2 tomorrow and Saturday's grand final could spark upsets amid unpredictable voting splits.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$158,000,040
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as the clear frontrunner with "Liekinheitin" after a standout performance and qualification in yesterday's Semi-final 1 in Vienna, where the duo's live violin spectacle and passionate lyrics on desire ignited jury and televote buzz, extending their commanding market-implied 44% probability. Their UMK national final triumph, bolstered by dominant rehearsal feedback and OGAE fan poll victories, has traders piling in, viewing the entry's high-energy blend as a winner in both jury and public votes. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") at 14% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") at 12% hold as key challengers post-rehearsals, but Semi-final 2 tomorrow and Saturday's grand final could spark upsets amid unpredictable voting splits.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$158,000,040
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finlândia" at 44%, followed by "Grécia" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $158 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Finlândia" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Grécia" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.