Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's August 30 high likely peaking near 25°C, driven by persistent northerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating below late-August climatological norms of 29–32°C. This pattern, with surface temperatures running 2–3°C cooler than average and minimal solar insolation under overcast skies, positions 24–26°C outcomes as the market leaders at 45%, 26.5%, and 18.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the consensus across ECMWF and regional guidance against the chance of brief clearing that could allow a brief spike to 27°C, while the low odds on extremes reflect limited model spread and the imminent resolution via official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara em 30 de agosto?
25°C 45%
26°C 27%
24°C 19%
27°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
19%
25°C
45%
26°C
27%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 45%
26°C 27%
24°C 19%
27°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
21°C or below
$171 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$304 Vol.
1%
23°C
$223 Vol.
4%
24°C
$753 Vol.
19%
25°C
$916 Vol.
45%
26°C
$778 Vol.
27%
27°C
$378 Vol.
7%
28°C
$170 Vol.
2%
29°C
$238 Vol.
1%
30°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's August 30 high likely peaking near 25°C, driven by persistent northerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating below late-August climatological norms of 29–32°C. This pattern, with surface temperatures running 2–3°C cooler than average and minimal solar insolation under overcast skies, positions 24–26°C outcomes as the market leaders at 45%, 26.5%, and 18.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the consensus across ECMWF and regional guidance against the chance of brief clearing that could allow a brief spike to 27°C, while the low odds on extremes reflect limited model spread and the imminent resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,308Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's August 30 high likely peaking near 25°C, driven by persistent northerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating below late-August climatological norms of 29–32°C. This pattern, with surface temperatures running 2–3°C cooler than average and minimal solar insolation under overcast skies, positions 24–26°C outcomes as the market leaders at 45%, 26.5%, and 18.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the consensus across ECMWF and regional guidance against the chance of brief clearing that could allow a brief spike to 27°C, while the low odds on extremes reflect limited model spread and the imminent resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,308Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's August 30 high likely peaking near 25°C, driven by persistent northerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating below late-August climatological norms of 29–32°C. This pattern, with surface temperatures running 2–3°C cooler than average and minimal solar insolation under overcast skies, positions 24–26°C outcomes as the market leaders at 45%, 26.5%, and 18.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the consensus across ECMWF and regional guidance against the chance of brief clearing that could allow a brief spike to 27°C, while the low odds on extremes reflect limited model spread and the imminent resolution via official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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