Recent forecasts for Beijing on June 30, 2026, indicate potential afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover tied to East Asian monsoon moisture, which is moderating peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with model spreads showing highs clustered around 28–31°C, though some runs favor slightly cooler outcomes near 26–28°C if convection develops earlier or more persistently. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 26–28°C, centers on uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, which historically caps late-June maxima below climatological averages of ~30°C when moisture influx strengthens. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on June 30?
26°C 25%
27°C 23%
28°C 16%
25°C 16%
$10,573 Vol.
$10,573 Vol.
23°C or below
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
16%
26°C
25%
27°C
23%
28°C
16%
29°C
8%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
26°C 25%
27°C 23%
28°C 16%
25°C 16%
$10,573 Vol.
$10,573 Vol.
23°C or below
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
16%
26°C
25%
27°C
23%
28°C
16%
29°C
8%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Beijing on June 30, 2026, indicate potential afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover tied to East Asian monsoon moisture, which is moderating peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with model spreads showing highs clustered around 28–31°C, though some runs favor slightly cooler outcomes near 26–28°C if convection develops earlier or more persistently. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 26–28°C, centers on uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, which historically caps late-June maxima below climatological averages of ~30°C when moisture influx strengthens. Upcoming model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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