Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a hot, mostly sunny setup over Chicago on July 14 driven by southerly flow beneath a building high-pressure ridge, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points near 70 °F, and any late-day cloud debris explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F. Historical July climatology shows 85 °F as the daily normal, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly that traders are weighing against the narrow window for further model shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 14 de julho?
96-97°F 45%
98-99°F 28%
94-95°F 21%
100-101°F 9%
$13,412 Vol.
$13,412 Vol.
93°F ou menos
2%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
45%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F ou mais
<1%
96-97°F 45%
98-99°F 28%
94-95°F 21%
100-101°F 9%
$13,412 Vol.
$13,412 Vol.
93°F ou menos
2%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
45%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a hot, mostly sunny setup over Chicago on July 14 driven by southerly flow beneath a building high-pressure ridge, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points near 70 °F, and any late-day cloud debris explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F. Historical July climatology shows 85 °F as the daily normal, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly that traders are weighing against the narrow window for further model shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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