Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high temperature in the upper 60s to near 70°F for Chicago on September 20, driven by persistent northeast winds off Lake Michigan behind a frontal passage, widespread cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions are suppressing temperatures several degrees below the late-September climatological average of 74°F, with forecast highs clustered around 66–70°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for 68–69°F and 26% for 70–71°F aligns with this consensus outlook from official sources, while lower-probability bins capture residual uncertainty in exact maximum readings amid variable precipitation timing. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 20 de setembro?
20-21°C 54%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 10%
72-73°F 9%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
59°F ou menos
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
10%
20-21°C
54%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F ou mais
<1%
20-21°C 54%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 10%
72-73°F 9%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
59°F ou menos
$111 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$111 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$213 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$120 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$1,304 Vol.
10%
20-21°C
$2,127 Vol.
54%
70-71°F
$1,541 Vol.
26%
72-73°F
$1,200 Vol.
9%
74-75°F
$607 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$279 Vol.
<1%
78°F ou mais
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high temperature in the upper 60s to near 70°F for Chicago on September 20, driven by persistent northeast winds off Lake Michigan behind a frontal passage, widespread cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions are suppressing temperatures several degrees below the late-September climatological average of 74°F, with forecast highs clustered around 66–70°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for 68–69°F and 26% for 70–71°F aligns with this consensus outlook from official sources, while lower-probability bins capture residual uncertainty in exact maximum readings amid variable precipitation timing. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,733Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high temperature in the upper 60s to near 70°F for Chicago on September 20, driven by persistent northeast winds off Lake Michigan behind a frontal passage, widespread cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions are suppressing temperatures several degrees below the late-September climatological average of 74°F, with forecast highs clustered around 66–70°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for 68–69°F and 26% for 70–71°F aligns with this consensus outlook from official sources, while lower-probability bins capture residual uncertainty in exact maximum readings amid variable precipitation timing. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,733Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high temperature in the upper 60s to near 70°F for Chicago on September 20, driven by persistent northeast winds off Lake Michigan behind a frontal passage, widespread cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions are suppressing temperatures several degrees below the late-September climatological average of 74°F, with forecast highs clustered around 66–70°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for 68–69°F and 26% for 70–71°F aligns with this consensus outlook from official sources, while lower-probability bins capture residual uncertainty in exact maximum readings amid variable precipitation timing. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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