Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and Met Office runs indicates a high near 24°C for Paris on September 20, driven by strengthening high pressure, moderate northwesterly winds, and increasing afternoon cloud cover that limits surface heating. These conditions follow a period of variable late-summer warmth, with forecast maxima clustered between 23–25°C amid low precipitation risk. Trader sentiment reflects tight spreads among the 23–24°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud timing or wind strength can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C, while historical September baselines around 20–22°C underscore the mild anomaly. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 20 de setembro?
24°C 35%
23°C 30%
22°C 23%
25°C 14%
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
23%
23°C
30%
24°C
35%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 35%
23°C 30%
22°C 23%
25°C 14%
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
23%
23°C
30%
24°C
35%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and Met Office runs indicates a high near 24°C for Paris on September 20, driven by strengthening high pressure, moderate northwesterly winds, and increasing afternoon cloud cover that limits surface heating. These conditions follow a period of variable late-summer warmth, with forecast maxima clustered between 23–25°C amid low precipitation risk. Trader sentiment reflects tight spreads among the 23–24°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud timing or wind strength can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C, while historical September baselines around 20–22°C underscore the mild anomaly. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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